Ok few things,
1-when I watch film to predict things, I go by a few different things an amalgamation of stats, film, scouting reports and impressions from scouts I respect. I do look at precedent, I can clearly recall the last time there were 2 QB's who were thought of as cant miss guys, Rivers and manning both turned out to be pretty good but not worth 3 firsts and a second, then you go back to the time before and you see one HOF guy and one guy who was perhaps a bust on the level of jamarcus Russel. same thing with when I rank players or try to prognosticate their careers I look at where they played and who they played, for one thing RG3 came from the big 12 I cannot think of any good pro QB's from the big 12 in the past 20 years, Bradford thus far has been decent. I cannot think of any QB's other than Newton who are Black QB's who had a decent first few years as QB;s barring my favourite player Warren Moon who went to the cfl for 5 years first, I don't know why, I know its not simply skin colour but it is what it is and when millions of dollars are at stake you look at EVERYTHING. I cant think of any QB's who had ridiculous stats in weak conferences who came in and lit it up in the NFL either, the windows are so much smaller.
2- Oline, we couldnt run to the left, Chris Chester was terible as well, he got owned a LOT on short yards, he is simply too weak to be effective as more than a back up. our Pass pro was not very good either, blame Rex all you want but Rex didnt call the plays or protections. TW was flat out awful a few games as well. our Oline played well a couple times, but never put together a run like the great Olines do.Lick is a great backup but shouldnt be a starter, monty improved a lot over the year but I think he is a marginal starter who flashes.
to the people who dont see the corelation between this and the Mcrapp move? really?
Mcrapp was signed because Shanny knew that the biggest problem on this team was offence, campbell was younger, healthier and would have been a better choice to stay with as he wouldnt have cost a second rounder, but the FANS were fed up with dink and dunk and were very vocal about it, Shanny looked at Mcrapp and saw a guy who physically looked a lot like elway, strong arm, fairly mobile, but didnt see the downsides , not smart, didnt pick up offences well and basically was uninterested in doing anything but being the focal point. But we gave up a second because the FANS were loud about wanting a new guy. It was strictly a win now, get the fans onside move. it flopped but on paper it looked ok but expensive.
We just gave up 3 firsts and a second to get Rg3 why? because as several people in this thread have just said " the fans didnt want any more retreads" so screw the fact that we wasted a year on revamping the defence, screw the fact that last year we actually did start building a real foundation, and screw the fact that another year like last year would actually have us set up with a strong team and actual depth for the first time since 1992, WE GOTTA GET A QB and WE GOTTA GET HIM NOW. whereas if we could have used one more draft and free agency period like last season and added more youth and skill, we would be taking the long view.
I am amused at all the hyperbole surrounding Luck and RG3 ,remember 2 years ago, Jake locker THE BEST PROSPECT SINCE MANNING last year Bradford (barring injuries) best prospect in 10 years blah blah, a few years before that David Carr, a few years before that? someone else. I am not swayed by Rg3's numbers, look at Graham Harrel, or Colt mcoy. Now granted, RG3 would seem to be the perfect player as he is also smart, and of good character, but 3 firsts and a second is a high cost even for a sure thing, let alone a risky chance.
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