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Kirk Cousins Development Tracker

El, that stat is correct. Based on percentage of pass attempts resulting in the QB being sacked only the Jets have a lower percentage.

Here's the top 10.

Sacked_percentage.jpg


I know this is a Cousins development thread but I like to find ways to look the impact of various components of Cousins game relative to the team's performance as a whole and then compare his to other QBs on other teams with respect to those team's performance as a way of comparing the impact of that part of a QBs game on total team performance. so here's an interesting one. Percentage of pass attempts made by a QB that are TD passes.

I had no idea what I'd find but I just got curious and found a bit of a surprise.

Cousins has a higher percentage than Peyton Manning but lower than Blake Bortles if you are comparing QBs with similar numbers of pass attempts.

The first column after the team name is number of pass attempts.

The next column to the right is number of TD passes.

The last column on the right is the percentage of pass attempts that resulted in a TD.
The



Percent_pases_TDs.jpg



That, to me calls into question the significance that stat has relative to team performance-Jacksonville's QB blows away both the Redskins and Broncos QBs in that stat, so does Miami's ...however....




Source link:Passing Touchdown Percentage: 2015 NFL Season
 
Om said:
NFL Team Red Zone Scoring Percentage (TD only)
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RankTeam2015Last 3Last 1HomeAway2014
1NY Jets72.00%70.00%100.00%75.00%69.23%36.17%
2New England71.88%66.67%75.00%76.19%63.64%62.96%
3Cincinnati67.74%72.73%33.33%75.00%63.16%58.00%
4Arizona65.71%46.15%60.00%58.82%72.22%43.59%
5Pittsburgh63.64%37.50%33.33%69.23%55.56%51.72%
6New Orleans63.33%75.00%100.00%71.43%56.25%60.00%
7Atlanta63.33%45.45%40.00%56.25%71.43%61.36%
8Detroit63.16%55.56%0.00%69.23%50.00%53.06%
9Indianapolis62.50%66.67%50.00%45.45%76.92%55.07%
10Washington61.90%63.64%80.00%75.00%44.44%47.92%

<tbody>
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</main>
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good stuff. To fine tune it, I think if you look at the Patriots 71.88%, dig deeper and see what the percentage is attributable to Gronk (i.e. TD catches/red zone targets for Gronk's numbers, or take Gronks redzone TD/Pats redzone TDs and subtract from the total), then you have pinpointed what we need to do. We need to neutralize Gronk at all costs, and we will have leveled the playing field somewhat. And have a chance in this game. We've seen Brady without Gronk before (due to injury) so we know there is a big drop off. I prefer this approach rather than increase the pressure on Brady (hasn't worked before).
 
Football Outsiders is my favorite place to run when people start throwing out arbitrary stats. They compile everything, put it together and wrap it up in a nice little bow. :)

Anyway, according to them, so far, Cousins is looking not bad.

FOOTBALL OUTSIDERS: Innovative Statistics, Intelligent Analysis | QUARTERBACKS 2015

They have him ranked 9th in QBs 'Defense-adjusted Value Over Replacement.' This is what they consider their definitive ranking.

They have him ranked 12th in QBs 'Defense-adjusted Value Over Average.' (Which is basically the same thing not taking injuries into account. Roethelisberger, Tyrod Taylor and Ryan Fitzpatrick move ahead of Cousins on this list even though they missed playing time.) This is what I consider the definitive ranking.

His straight-up QBR (ESPNs new goofy rating system) has him at 18th in the league.

His passer rating has him at about 23rd, depending on how many pass attempts your require to make the list.

Based on all of this, I'd put him somewhere in the middle. Maybe even a little higher than the middle.
 
guess we'll get around to discussing what is in front of us: we don't score much in the first quarter or the third quarter.

there are averages. there is variance. there are outliers. there is normalization.

and there is the overall record. but I get it - depending on agenda responsibility sometimes lies with the object of disaffection...other times it lies everywhere but with the object of affection. we have seen that in all its glory over the last couple years.

indeed...stats can be interesting.
 
GSF said:
Well I think losing Jackson in game 1 has had a big effect on that. I'm not sayin Cousins has been fantastic, but it's hard to deny those are damn good numbers in the redzone.
Click to expand...

there's some truth there.

now....9 TDs spread over 28 quarters comes to what? .32 per quarter. hmmmm.
 
The next 4-5 games should write the book on Cousins. If DJax comes back at full strength we can see Kirk can do. If he maintains his consistent inconsistency, I don't know that anyone is going to offer big money to him in the off season. If Jackson is a spark that ignites consistent good to very good play, Kirk will be here next year.

And so will Jackson for that matter.

Sent from my XT1526 using Tapatalk
 
fansince62 said:
there's some truth there.

now....9 TDs spread over 28 quarters comes to what? .32 per quarter. hmmmm.
Click to expand...

Not great I agree, but I think that number would be better if Jackson had been playing. Either way I think the jury is still out on Cousins. He's still very young and inexperienced though, and has shown he has great potential.
 
fansince62 said:
guess we'll get around to discussing what is in front of us: we don't score much in the first quarter or the third quarter.

there are averages. there is variance. there are outliers. there is normalization.

and there is the overall record. but I get it - depending on agenda responsibility sometimes lies with the object of disaffection...other times it lies everywhere but with the object of affection. we have seen that in all its glory over the last couple years.

indeed...stats can be interesting.
Click to expand...

What does variance mean?
 
Elephant said:
What does variance mean?
Click to expand...

Putting it in terms that don't involve the math, variance is a calculation in statistical analysis that measures the average spread-how far away from the average the individual data points are. As an example, Kirk Cousins average completion percentage so far is 68.7% but if you look at the individual games this is what you see

Miami-67.7%

Rams-85.2%

Giants-61.2%

Eagles-67.4%

Falcons-65.6%

Jets-57.9%

Bucs-82.5%


Noticeable variability there. If the measured average spread of those numbers changes as more data comes in something is happening that might indicate an increase in Cousin's consistency if it gets smaller or inconsistency if it gets larger. If the variance gets smaller it could indicate an improvement in the amount of time he has in the pocket or receivers getting open more often or any number of other factors but the change in the variance it the means by which you would know something is changing. Or if his average completion percentage improves but the variance gets larger the completion percentage is becoming more inconsistent and if both the completion percentage improves and the variance gets smaller-more consistent-he'll probably to most start looking like our likely 2016 starting QB.

This is pretty over-simplified but it does, I think, give a picture of what is meant by variance There are several other uses for the variance measure but I didn't want to come across all pedantic and stuffy.
 
servumtuum said:
Putting it in terms that don't involve the math, variance is a calculation in statistical analysis that measures the average spread-how far away from the average the individual data points are. As an example, Kirk Cousins average completion percentage so far is 68.7% but if you look at the individual games this is what you see

Miami-67.7%

Rams-85.2%

Giants-61.2%

Eagles-67.4%

Falcons-65.6%

Jets-57.9%

Bucs-82.5%


Noticeable variability there. If the measured average spread of those numbers changes as more data comes in something is happening that might indicate an increase in Cousin's consistency if it gets smaller or inconsistency if it gets larger. If the variance gets smaller it could indicate an improvement in the amount of time he has in the pocket or receivers getting open more often or any number of other factors but the change in the variance it the means by which you would know something is changing. Or if his average completion percentage improves but the variance gets larger the completion percentage is becoming more inconsistent and if both the completion percentage improves and the variance gets smaller-more consistent-he'll probably to most start looking like our likely 2016 starting QB.

This is pretty over-simplified but it does, I think, give a picture of what is meant by variance There are several other uses for the variance measure but I didn't want to come across all pedantic and stuffy.
Click to expand...

I was kinda busting Al's chops.
 
What's busting chops?


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
What is a hip term used to identify the skills of police officers who have a penchant for making a plethora of arrests.
 
I enjoyed it Serv, hadn't really thought about statistics terminology since the late sixties, nice refresher.
 
TomE said:
Let's put it this way, 'head shops' were quite common off campus and 'the draft' had a very different meaning for me back when.
Click to expand...

Close the window draft?

I'm confused...variance, draft, ingrate?
 
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