Commander Wraith
The 1st Round Pick
I’m not sure I get your point about the first drive. 2nd and 13 is an obvious passing down, right? So even if you think he should run the ball (at least) 1% of the time, which is fair… I’d say 99% warrants an “understandable” descriptor.Yes VoR made a similar point, but I think the point of the author of that article is there is no "commitment" to the run.
If you commit, the defense has to adjust. It changes quite a bit. You can run on 2nd and 20 - especially when you have shown you can break long runs. The first drive, why is that understandable? Since we got to 2nd and 13? There is a really big picture too that always alarms me. DCs look at game stats across the full season, and to me, the pattern is very established here. If you don't tend to run (I mean like 1% run) in 2nd-and-13... you are just asking for an all out pass rush. That second's hesitation to check the RB really matters.
Not saying that every drive needs a run or something like that, but this is a pretty well established pattern. Basically, there seem to be (for me and some others, including that author I suppose) too many "situations" that Kliff deems "pass required" - defenses can generally ignore the run threat (except in certain formations where there is a high likelihood) and you will be OK going straight at the QB in terms of pass-rush.
Also, keep in mind - I fully believe Daniels is hurt in part because of this well-established tendency. The pass rush has zero hesitation (I started here with "almost no" but changed to "zero" - why would they hesitate?) in way too many situations, based on the film that is all too easy to understand.
Not going to argue with your point about him not running at least 1% of the time on 2nd and 13. I have no desire to go back the last 100 2nd and 13s his teams have faced to see if he’s run the ball once.
Bottom line, I’m not going to ding him for calling a pass play on the 2nd and 13 or the 2nd and 20 in the first half.
