I don't bet on the redskins because I haven't been able to figure out when my analysis is based on fact and when it's based on homerism.
That said, I want to take this as an opportunity to explain what the 'line' number means because people regularly confuse it.
The 'line number' does NOT mean that vegas thinks the Falcons are 3 points better than the Redskins at fedex. I'll repeat that: Vegas does not think the Falcons are 3 points better.
What the line means is that Vegas thinks the current line will generate
equal action on both sides of the line. If people start betting heaving Redskins the line will go down, if they start betting heavy Falcons the line will go up.
The line has absolutely NOTHING to do with who Vegas thinks will win the game or by how much. The only thing the line has to do with is what Vegas thinks will generate equal action from the betting public on both sides. Once the public starts to go heavy one side the line starts shifting - Thats not because Vegas has changed its opinion on who the better team is.
This is not something I know, this is something people much smarter than me with betting have always said/told me. I'm just trying to spread the knowledge around.