Oh I absolutely have full faith and trust in the Peters regime, and I was flabbergasted by how well I thought they handled last off season.
And point taken about there being plenty of immediate impact guys taken after the spot in question, but it's invariable that the odds go down the more guys get taken off the board. I find discussion of where that inflection point is interesting, because is makes sense that it would change class to class.
it is 1000% something a lot of fans forget.
"Look where Tom Brady was taken"
Well guess what, there isn't a Tom Brady in every draft. But here's what I can tell you, there's damn good football players available in all 7 rounds. Not good to go 'looking' for needs expecting them to be available late, but it is good to understand that there is talent there, and if you can find it, maximize what you do in order to set the player up to be successful.
The inflection point changes because the pool of players is not a 'control' if you want to talk about scientific equation. It changes every year, and it's also not pre-determined. I don't believe there is 'fate' when it comes to NFL draft picks. If Tom Brady had been drafted by Washington, are we now leading the NFL all time with 9 Super Bowl wins? Nah, don't think so. A LB drafted by Pittsburgh or Baltimore in the 4th round may end up as an All Pro, while if he's drafted by Cle or Chi, he ends up fading into obscurity. Zack Baun lived on practice squads until 2024, and he became an All Pro. A closer to home example... If Ryan Kerrigan is drafted to Pitt / Bal / Sea does he end up an All Pro instead of a 'good' de on a bad team? I love Kerrigan, don't get me wrong, but do we honestly have any real faith we got anywhere NEAR his full potential out of him? Nah.
There is no secret equation, and because of that, there shouldn't be a limitation based on pre-draft rankings. I promise there will be a guy between 50 - 60 ranked by PFF who will end up being a quality starter. This opens the 4th dimension... is this player a quality starter HERE?
Sorry, draft eval rant... went down a hell of a rabbit hole