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How is Morris being used?

One of many experimental iterations ...

servumtuum

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I thought I'd post Alfred Morris' situational stats for the first three games for general informational purposes. This is only an overview of when and how well his rushing performance is doing relative to general game situations.




Link: http://www.nfl.com/player/alfredmorris/2533457/situationalstats

I am not responsible for slap fights ensuing as a result of the publication of the above information. :evil::hammer::betterwink2:

:laugh2:
 

tshile

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Could have used that earlier today :)
Thanks serv!

PS: Congrats on figuring out the NFL's new stat lab. I've yet to figure it out. I get frustrated and go to ESPN after 10 seconds.... That may say more about me than the tool though :)
 

servumtuum

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Took me a little while, Tshile, I'm a bit more used to that sort of thing since math/statistics/ is a hobby interest of mine and this was just an implementation of a type of visual information presentation graphic that's very popular. The NFL could have done a better job, I think, of warning people and giving at least some basic instructions on how to use it-features, reading the charts...etc.

FWIW, the charts are called radar charts or spider charts due to their resemblance to a spider web or a radar display and are used to display multiple variables, in this case, various player performance metrics, in a manner that makes it easier to spot common strengths and/or weaknesses and especially to make notable differences in one or more areas kind of "jump out" at you visually as a sharp spike toward one metric or, conversely the lack of a spike for one player versus another in one or more areas.

One problem I noticed was the poor contrast when showing the actual numbers on things such as pass completion percentages when comparing QBs. Making these graphs hard to read conflicts with the vary idea of trying to make information more available and easier to visually compare.
 

China

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The first thing that jumped out at me was that after 20 carries, Morris' production drops off dramatically. I doesn't look like he's getting stronger as the game progresses and wearing the other team down (although you'd think so with the way he runs). An alternate possibility is that those later runs are in end-of-game situations where run is expected and thus the other team is prepared and shuts it down.
 

servumtuum

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The one that surprised me along those lines was his lack of output in the second quarter. I may do some individual game digging to see what was going on during the second quarter-we've both led and been behind in the second quarter so far and he seems to see little action there.

Puzzling.
 

Boone

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It's just 3 games worth of data. Not sure that's enough to draw conclusions about 'trends'.
 

servumtuum

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You're right, of course Boone, it does however even with such a small sample set provide a baseline from which future trends can be measured as they regress toward a mean over the rest of the season. Mostly, I was just curious to see how his numbers looked early in the light of recent comments about play-calling and scheming. The numbers can probably help alleviate some confusion and provide a backup to check against what are sometimes faulty visual impressions.

I use the data and statistical analyses precisely because my visual impressions and memory are not always reliable reporting agents from which to draw valid conclusions.
 

Beans

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Sample size is small. Will withhold judgement. I like what I see. Kid looks real good, but not special. Good enough to definitely win with. I just prefer backs that can hit home runs...like L.T. In his prime, Barry Sanders, etc. That's what the Skins need!:co_obvious:

Seriously, I thought Helu was going to be that guy...guess I was wrong.:doh1:
 

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