Later in his career, Belichick’s drafting eventually weakened the roster and got him fired. Even for people with the eye who are better at it, drafting is streaky. John Schneider got hot for a class or two and went to multiple SB’s with that core. Then he got cold for quite a while and many wondered if he’d be fired alongside Carroll. Then he got hot again and built another, completely different SB roster in a different era of offenses and defenses. Never stopped having the eye for talent. So there’s luck to these things, and again, it’s streaky even for the best.
AP allegedly has the eye. I think he’s made some bad decisions while learning to be the top guy, alongside some good ones. Less, but some. He has the same opportunity to get hot and draft a killer class to build future playoff runs around at any time, and I’d sure like to see it. I think this offseason would be a grand time to hit a hot streak, it hasn’t happened yet that we can tell.
We need blue chip talent for sure. A few studs sprinkled around the roster sure makes it easier to get the rest to work.
We also need volume. Belichick and Newsome and Schneider all had years where they moved back to accumulate more picks, because more attempts = more hits.
What we prioritize in each draft is going to depend on how the board falls, what offers come to us, what the shape of the class looks like. There’s no one-size-fits-all approach. We need talent, period. It can come from anywhere in the draft (and FA), but it has to come from AP & Co. making good choices and selecting studs.
This current operation doesn’t work if they can’t start hitting big on some picks. Not just players who can start or play roles, but some honest to god pro bowlers and all pros. If that doesn’t happen, this current group won’t keep their jobs forever. Especially the coaches, but the FO as well. So they need to start hitting. At 7, later, wherever. If we want to be an elite team the have to start identifying and acquiring elite players for us.