Enjoyable read,China. (I don't use the black background so the font color hasn't been a problem with me, BTW.)
A very reasonable sounding scenario given the number of unknowns operating on both sides.
As you will discover in the Redskins Recon, Eagles fans estimates (hopes, fears, speculations?) are all over the place on how this game goes-some of them, interestingly not all that far from your analysis.
Well done.