Yea I likes me some Redskins optimism. Naturally, coming off a 3 win season, you have nowhere to go but up. However, I am really worried about only three things. And I don't have to mention any players to get the point across, this is a big picture view.
The Downside:
1. First time head coaches don't win the first year. Add to that, coaches that were QB's for some reason can't get the job done. I know there is not a direct correlation with the won loss record, but I believe in this, history tells me so. (And don't give me Chip Kelley......the Eagles QB was the surprise of the year, more so than the coach imho). Now as far as offensive genius, Redskins avg 20.9 pts per game. That won't cut it. We need 27 pts per game and that simply won't happen. You may say well its only one score, but on the average, a 7 point leap on the average is huge. That would have put us second only to Broncos last year (37.9 pts who set the NFL record for scoring) and that just won't happen. Only 4 other teams avg 27 pts, Eagles, Bears, Patriots, and Cowboys.
The first year HC thing crossed my mind, but I think talent trumps the learning curve. Defenses will not be able to account for Griffin, stop the run, and cover our WRs and TE. They just won't. It doesn't take a complex offense to take advantage of them when talent like we have puts them 'on the horns of a dilemma'. I think this offense could average 30+ points a game.
2. Defense sucks. I don't see where anything will change, and its not about the players. The coach was a failure as a head coach and as Def coach imho. Add to that that Haslett was Gruden's coach in the other league and keeping Haslett was a sign of loyalty and payback. But he gets one year, and I hope he's gone after that. The sooner the better. But we have to lose for that to happen sad to say.
I've already conceded I have no faith in Haslett. But your expectations are pretty low given that we've added some talent in key spots. Hatcher alone (if he gets on the field early on) will make a big difference. Trent Murphy is going to be the best defensive add we've made since London Fletcher. And Philip Thomas can play. We WILL be better on D - flawed scheme and DC or not.
3. Special Teams worst in the league, and jury is still out if they still suck. Special Teams typically won't win games, but they sure do lose them. This kills your offense when we score, kick off to the opponent only to have them run it back all the way. Demoralizing. We are going nowhere if teams play still sucks.
I didn't address ST, but Forbath (who will prevail IMHO) is a hell of a FG kicker, and he'll be kicking a lot of extra points in 2014. It's really our return team and return coverage teams that have sucked. I don't see any way we don't improve there as well.
Now can we overcome these factors and win? It can happen, but in my mind these are the hurdles and the many weapons we have don't translate to points to me. It translates to depth, and that there is a big key to surviving the season and making it a winning one.