BGO Blind Pig: 2023 NFL Mock Draft Edition

Boone

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It's the time of the year for everyone's favorite activity - the NFL mock draft - with the guys taking their best shot at selecting this year's Washington Commander's draft slate. The group has had previous success correctly predicting the drafting of Jamin Davis, Brian Robinson Jr., and the signing of Sammis Reyes in the past. Spoiler alert: Neither promising prospect Bumper Pool nor Foos Ball were selected in our draft but may perhaps be available as UDFAs. We look forward to your mock draft mockery, cheers, jeers, and feedback on who you wish we'd selected!




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Deuce Vaughn is my guy, i went to bat for him... that said....



dude looks like a madden created player
 
There is something about him. I don’t know what, but it just seems like a guy this coaching staff will really like.
 
Vaughn looks like a mini version of Christian McCaffrey. Fun to watch.

With a guy like that, IF he can make a roster, an OC can have all kinds of fun scheming up ways to hide him and move him around pre-snap to try to isolate him on a LB or S and get him the ball in space. Also a guy you can try to set up for draws, where he can get lost in traffic and only needs a tiny seam to get going. Totally a guy I think someone like Bienemy--thinking Pacheco here--might appreciate the chance to work with.
 
Hendon Hooker is a guy we probably should’ve talked about given the rumored interest. Guy has an NFL arm and some of the best throwing mechanics I’ve seen in a college QB, also has dual threat capability (although doesn’t use it a lot). Had one of the best seasons in college football in 2022 at Tennessee - 3,135 yds, 32 TDs, 2 INTs, 124.6 QBR. Tore his ACL so likely won’t see much action in 2023. But he could be a hidden gem type. Biggest dings on him is his age (25), the injury, and the fact that he hasn’t played in a pro style offense where he has to go through progressions and make complex decisions. He also looks to hold onto the ball longer than I’d like. But he is an intriguing prospect … problem is we’d likely have to take him with our 2nd rounder if not sooner if we really want him. Not sure how I’d feel about that?

 
Neo,

Neil Olkiewicz on hold for you on line 2 ...

[reference @ 16:50]
 
I think there are only two corners that are worthy of going in the top half of the draft and Porter Jr. Is not one of them. I see him as a reach at 16. He is primarily a man corner (WJIII anyone?) Here are some notes from NFL scouts:

WEAKNESSES: Grabby with wild limbs and in his attempts to gain phase ... was a flag magnet on film ... upright and tight in coverage, creating awkward, off-balanced transitions ... more likely to batter receivers at the top of routes rather than sink and redirect ... caught leaning and surrenders easy slant completions ... uses his long arms in press, but his hands aren’t very heavy ... not a natural hands-catcher and dropped more interceptions than he finished in 2022 ... inconsistent containing the run and will lose outside leverage ... wild tackling technique because of an inconsistent base ... allows his emotions to get the best of him at times ... was an outside- only cornerback in college ... didn’t lead Penn State in passes defended or interceptions in any of his four seasons on campus.

SUMMARY: A three-year starter at Penn State, Porter was exclusively an outside cornerback in defensive coordinator Manny Diaz’s man-heavy scheme. Although his college production is underwhelming, he didn’t give up a touchdown in 2022 and allowed only nine catches (on 26 targets) for 70 yards in man coverage. With impressive NFL bloodlines, Porter parks himself in front of receivers and smothers them in press to reroute and disrupt receiver timing up and down the field. However, he plays on his heels, loses momentum in his hip-flip and hangs on receivers to slow their routes, collecting 11 coverage penalties (nine pass interference, two defensive holding) in the past two seasons with several others that should have been called. Overall, Porter has clear bust potential with his undisciplined play style and unbalanced change of direction, but he has intriguing matchup potential in the NFL because of his aggressive length and body quickness. He projects as a classic bump-and-run cornerback and won’t be a slam-dunk fit for every scheme.


If the team is set on corner early and there are no offensive lineman still available that they deem worthy at #16, then I would be in favor of trading back.

Love, love, love the Avila selection. Plus he has a lot of experience at center in addition to guard.

A TE in the third would result in me throwing a brick through my television screen. Just sayin’.
 
I’ve read some of those concerns on Porter - then again, maybe our next DC can figure how to use a man coverage corner? :)

Kuntz is a boom or bust type for sure, but if he can take advantage of his elite measurables at the next level that will be a great pick.
 
I have no opinion on Kuntz. My concern is spending high draft capital on a position where the universal consensus of voices I trust (and the current team decision makers 😉) are very high on both Armani Rogers and Cole Turner. I’m hoping that a QB with a legitimate arm and an OC with a clue can make a big improvement in terms of professional usage.

In my mind, there are multiple positions of real need on this team that are of far higher importance than TE.
 
After running the PFN mock about a hundred times, and seeing who might be available at 16, I had four guys I was targeting with that first round pick, in this order of preference:

Witherspoon, Skoronski, Gonzalez, Porter.

Only Porter remained at 16.

As discussed during the pod, without trade-down options, my next thought was probably taking one of the two top-rated TE's, both of whom were there last night, and both rated as mid-to-late first rounders by most accounts. We definitely would have beaten that pick around, though. As far as Porter's draft profiles, I did a little shopping around too and found plenty of positive reviews rating him as a solid mid-to-late 1st and generally projecting high potential upside. I also watched enough "film" to see what looks like an instinctive, big, fast guy with good ball skills and a nasty attitude.

For purposes of a no-trade on-line fan mock, I'll sleep okay with the pick.
 
The no trade caveat certainly made a difference. I hope the team doesn’t have that if this situation appears.

My main problem with highlight videos are that they are, well, highlight videos. Teams have access to game tape which can tell an entirely different story.
 
Agree that watching highlight videos has limitations ... but the alternative is to spend hours and hours watching actual all-22 game footage, and we don't get paid enough to do that. :)

What I have found though is you can start to see characteristics in terms of athleticism, hand-eye ball skills, willingness to mix it up, just how a guy wears/fills out a uniform, etc. Granted, that's clearly in the eye of the beholder, but it's what we got.
 
Some interesting pre-draft comments from Mayhew and Rivera…

 
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Sometimes Ron can't help himself ... lol

On bringing prospective draft picks in for visits: "And sometimes we don't bring them in because we don't want you to know about them."

And more substantively ... they'll tell us May 2 if they're picking up Chase Young's 5th year option.
 
Rivera makes a lot of statements that are just flat out exaggerations/distortions. Today he and Mayhew both stated that they felt they had set themselves up to be able to take any player they liked in the draft because they had done so well in free agency. The phrase 'we got 3 starters all from playoff teams' was stated several times. While that may be *technically* true, only Andrew Wylie is arguably an upgrade over what we had. I would say our free agency hardly was so good as to eliminate any glaring weakness we have to fill in the draft.

Good lord - I think most fans would list CB and OL as absolutely requiring addressing in the draft.

I have no problem with my head coach being cagey and non-communicative, but don't feed us bullshit like that as if we have no eyes or capacity to think ourselves.
 
Rivera makes a lot of statements that are just flat out exaggerations/distortions. Today he and Mayhew both stated that they felt they had set themselves up to be able to take any player they liked in the draft because they had done so well in free agency. The phrase 'we got 3 starters all from playoff teams' was stated several times. While that may be *technically* true, only Andrew Wylie is arguably an upgrade over what we had. I would say our free agency hardly was so good as to eliminate any glaring weakness we have to fill in the draft.

Good lord - I think most fans would list CB and OL as absolutely requiring addressing in the draft.

I have no problem with my head coach being cagey and non-communicative, but don't feed us bullshit like that as if we have no eyes or capacity to think ourselves.

It’s what he does, then he gets mad when he gets called on it. I’m over the Rivera experiment and I’ve come to the conclusion we will have a new HC in 2024.
 
As Gomez Adams would say "Good show Old Man!" Great conversation on all of the picks.

Taking Kuntz at TE would fit with Hurney and Mayhew's philosophy of leaning towards players with a high RAS score.
Just something to remember on draft night......
 
Rivera makes a lot of statements that are just flat out exaggerations/distortions. Today he and Mayhew both stated that they felt they had set themselves up to be able to take any player they liked in the draft because they had done so well in free agency. The phrase 'we got 3 starters all from playoff teams' was stated several times. While that may be *technically* true, only Andrew Wylie is arguably an upgrade over what we had. I would say our free agency hardly was so good as to eliminate any glaring weakness we have to fill in the draft.

Good lord - I think most fans would list CB and OL as absolutely requiring addressing in the draft.

I have no problem with my head coach being cagey and non-communicative, but don't feed us bullshit like that as if we have no eyes or capacity to think ourselves.

Agree wholeheartedly with what has been stated here, Boone. As we have mentioned several times, if this team seriously thinks that the additions of Wylie and Gates are enough to clear up the issues along the offensive line, then they are going to be shamed this coming season, and you might as well also just throw the potential maturation and positive development of Sam Howell out the window too. Andrew Wylie was a player who apparently played the game of his life in the Super Bowl vs. the Eagles. Prior to that, there were questions along the way about his play when you look at the full picture of his career. Same sort of thing goes for Gates - we are depending on a guy who has had very serious injury concerns to step in and be dependable. Can we trust either of these guys, along with the rest of our linemen to bring a real sense of reliability and stability each and every Sunday? The obvious answer is no. There is no rock. There is no "Mr. Dependable." There are a few who project to be in the draft though and we better capitalize on taking them. I've said it before and don't want to sound like a broken record, but I can't help myself - there is no shame in taking two OL in our first four rounds of the upcoming draft. It won't be sexy, but smart, stable franchises make those types of decisions routinely.
 
Totally agree, CH. I've said all along that I'd be good with 2 OL in the first 4 rounds.

Hell, I'd be over the moon if we could get one of either Johnson, Skoronski, or Jones in the first and then get Avila or Schmitz in the second.
 

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