2025 Washington Commanders- All Things Offense

I'm not entirely sure that's accurate.

In 2024:
OZ: 45 receptions for 506 yards
NBrown: 35 receptions for 453 yards (11 games)
DBrown: 30 receptions for 308 yards

Deebo was 72 receptions for 727 yards last year. (16 games) So better than any receiver from 2024 except McLaurin.

And he was essentially playing out of position most of the year, because he's supposed to be the "move around hard to cover guy" but because McLaurin and NBrown were hurt most of the year, he ended up playing that role. And, honestly, not badly.

If he was part of a 3 man group, with McLaurin and somebody else who could play on the outside, and you could move him around, that might be just what Daniels needs.

I'm not wedded to bringing him back. But also, I don't think we should undersell what he did. He was pretty good for us. He was also hurt (a heel, I think?) for a bit. And mostly played through it.

You're right about one thing though, they shouldn't plan on Deebo being the second outside guy. That's not his jam. And that wasn't supposed to be his role last year. NBrown was supposed to play opposite McClaurin, and Deebo was supposed to roam around, get some of the quick hit stuff, move all over the place.

That all went out the window with Terry missing 7 games and Noah Brown missing almost the entire season.
Seems like we mostly agree. I don't think Deebo was bad last year, he just was not what is needed as a base-line for JD to be successful. He will be fine to bring back if there is coverage on the outside, which we did not have last year.

We might disagree on the overpay. I wouldn't bother bringing Deebo back at all, at any cost, if we don't improve the outside WR positions. Even at LSU, JD thrived at deep ball accuracy and running when those plays didn't develop. We had zero of the former last year and it killed his development and the season........even when Deebo remained an option in the offense. Just can't see brining him back at high $$ unless its been set up where he can be purely used as a weapon rather than a staple of the offense.

EDIT: Also, WTH are we going to do if Terry get hurt again for any significant period of time? Its a real risk at his age, I don't think the team should count on him for a full slate. I'd much rather see them overpay at positions that replace Terry than those that complement him.
 
Last edited:
Seems like we mostly agree. I don't think Deebo was bad last year, he just was not what is needed as a base-line for JD to be successful. He will be fine to bring back if there is coverage on the outside, which we did not have last year.

We might disagree on the overpay. I wouldn't bother bringing Deebo back at all, at any cost, if we don't improve the outside WR positions. Even at LSU, JD thrived at deep ball accuracy and running when those plays didn't develop. We had zero of the former last year and it killed his development and the season........even when Deebo remained an option in the offense. Just can't see brining him back at high $$ unless its been set up where he can be purely used as a weapon rather than a staple of the offense.

EDIT: Also, WTH are we going to do if Terry get hurt again for any significant period of time? Its a real risk at his age, I don't think the team should count on him for a full slate. I'd much rather see them overpay at positions that replace Terry than those that complement him.
This is what I was reacting to:

“We saw much lesser talents in OZ and Dyami have better success with JD5 than Deebo.”

I think that’s a factually incorrect statement, which is why I posted stats the contrary.

You’re sortof switching the discussion a little bit. I agree they need to get an outside WR. But I disagree that OZ and DBrown had better success than Deebo.

I’m not sure they player is going to be available in FA.

They might have to go heavy on defense in FA so they can take the best skill position player on the board at 7, whether it’s WR or RB.
 
Part of this is injury, part is Terry's holdout, but our WR's last year were, to steal a quote from John Riggins, not professional grade.

We were playing with PS level players getting 60-90% of the snaps in most games. That's just bananas. Not by design, but that's the way it turned out.

It may not have been by design but it was pretty foreseeable. We’re actually lucky Deebo stayed pretty healthy. But the post-holdout Terry injuries, Noah Brown injuries, and everyone else but Deebo being mostly roster filler trash…that was all well within the range of outcomes. Lane and McCaffrey getting hurt made things worse but no way our plans were hinging on those guys either. It went almost as bad as you could expect, but we should’ve expected that could happen given how we built the WR room. Disaster waiting to happen, and people were worried about it
 
It may not have been by design but it was pretty foreseeable. We’re actually lucky Deebo stayed pretty healthy. But the post-holdout Terry injuries, Noah Brown injuries, and everyone else but Deebo being mostly roster filler trash…that was all well within the range of outcomes. Lane and McCaffrey getting hurt made things worse but no way our plans were hinging on those guys either. It went almost as bad as you could expect, but we should’ve expected that could happen given how we built the WR room. Disaster waiting to happen, and people were worried about it
I didn’t think we’d lose Terry and Brown and for a time Deebo all at the same time because that’s some serious stars aligning in the wrong way shit.

But I was worried that their #4 on the depth chart was McCaffery who’s at best unproven, #5 was Lane who was a rookie ST guy, and #6 … I don’t even think they had a #6 after the cutdown to 53.

They were really counting on McCaffrey to take a big step forward that never materialized.

Then they had to go to PS level players for #6, and eventually #6 became a starter, which was a disaster.

To me, rhe unforgivable sin was signing Noah Brown and expecting him to actually stay healthy. It hasn’t happened his entire career.

I think that was the first domino. But signing him essentially meant no other starting quality WR was coming here because they already had 3 + McCaffery so whoever came would be competing for at best #5 on the depth chart, assuming we didn’t draft a guy. Which we did. So then whoever came in was competing for the 6th spot.

Who wants to do that?
 
We had a top 5 offense in 2024 and we would have probably been at the bottom of the chart last year.

There are a lot of ways to do offense. I posted this elsewhere, but the NFL is cyclical. Under-center, traditional play action is in vogue at the moment. It wasn't 5 years ago and it probably won't be 5 years from now. But it might be in 10 years.

Once defenses adapt better to this, then offenses will go more to what we saw with the spread/gun type offenses, then defenses will adjust, and offenses will go more to power/stretch play action style offenses. Until defenses adjust again.... And on it will go.

The cycles last longer than 5 years imo. Offenses adopted more spread concepts and more WR’s on the field for two reasons last decade (in addition to the fact that the league had more QB talent than maybe ever before all at once): to exploit heavier LB-dominant defenses that were built over long periods of time to stop the run, and to integrate explosive young skill players faster and easier out of college while they were on cost-controlled rookie contracts. QB and WR production skyrocketed for a good long while. Defenses got lighter and faster and played more DB’s to adjust. A generation of HOF QB’s were unstoppable, and then Mahomes came along and looked like a newer cyborg iteration of that trend. When actually his early peak years were the peak/end of that style, as NFL defenses adopted Fangio’s 2-high coverage to shut down the deep ball (and specifically hamstring Mahomes). But D’s were still lighter and DB-heavy, even though we had just witnessed the end of an era of spread and downfield passing dominance.

It took a while for NFL OC’s to adjust in recent years and go heavier to start taking advantage of the lighter/faster/DB-heavy defenses that were required to match up against the spread shotgun passing games that Manning and Brees perfected, and continued for a while. The creative OC’s have been adapting ever since, going heavier, more TE’s, more PA and motion, and making run and pass look the same to break coverage rules the same way defenses are disguising what they’re doing to break progression rules.

But it takes a while for these things to change because drafting norms and what NFL teams value changes fairly slowly. And then all of a sudden it feels like the whole league changed all at once and you’re watching a different game.

It’s complex, these guys are smarter than ever, and Kliff imo was falling behind. We didn’t wait for him to crash and burn to finally move on, he did a pretty admirable job with a skeleton crew in 2025 after an elite 2024. But it’s one of the only proactive moves I can say I’ve seen this regime make to be honest. It calls into question why Quinn thought Kliff would ever change, and why he hired someone philosophically opposed to him from day one, but he eventually woke up. And I was calling for it immediately after our elite 2024 offense so I’m not rewriting history. The issues I saw (far beyond endangering Daniels, which wasn’t close to my main criticism) continued to worsen.

We had an elite offense in 2024, yes. I strongly believe that was because Jayden Daniels played out of his mind and took the league by storm. I’m not saying Kliff contributed nothing, he played to Daniels’ strengths coming out of college and that was a good transition offense for Jayden. But it couldn’t last forever and you have to rip off the bandaid at some point. If Daniels didn’t make insane throw after insane throw his rookie season, we’d have a much more measured view of Kliff’s 2024 offense. Daniels legitimately played like a top-3 QB for about 3/4 of that rookie season. That’s going to impact perception of results no matter what the offense is, but it doesn’t mean the underlying system or philosophy can’t have longterm flaws.

Kliff was showing extremely stubbornness and not adopting any of the things working around the league. It’s not about playing copycat imo, it’s about being on the bleeding edge and showing that you’re willing to innovate and change when it’s warranted—more than that, it’s about WANTING to find those edges and WANTING to change to stay on the leading edge. Kliff is really good at what he does. But that’s what he does. It may come in and out of vogue, and it may work when the QB is playing out of his mind. But you can be sure that’s what he’s going to be doing, until he shows otherwise. That’s not going to win you anything, longterm, big picture.

You’ve consistently clung to the idea that Kliff is really good and that it’s actually a plus that he does things differently. Even uniquely. And he is really good at what he specifically does, within his box. Yet 2/3 of the NFL just had OC openings and he was never even rumored to be a realistic finalist for any of the jobs. He’s not wanted. Any other narrative is ignoring Occam’s Razor and making excuses for him.

And imo there’s a good reason for that. Not because he’s bucking trends that will come and go, like you mentioned. But because he’ll never CREATE a trend or integrate what works from one. He’ll always be Kliff. Maybe he can learn to be a different version of himself under McVay. That’s a guy who has reinvented himself multiple times to stay at the leading edge.
 
This is what I was reacting to:

“We saw much lesser talents in OZ and Dyami have better success with JD5 than Deebo.”

I think that’s a factually incorrect statement, which is why I posted stats the contrary.

You’re sortof switching the discussion a little bit. I agree they need to get an outside WR. But I disagree that OZ and DBrown had better success than Deebo.

I’m not sure they player is going to be available in FA.

They might have to go heavy on defense in FA so they can take the best skill position player on the board at 7, whether it’s WR or RB.
Yep, you are right, I moved the goal post. My feeling is that OZ and Dyami were better for JD5's development, because they have the skill set needed to pair with his super power. The pure stats were less, but IMO the offense was better with multiple players having their skill set. Definitely not a moratorium on Deebo, but many of us (i.e., ME) thought that would work.

Are they great? No. Do they complement JD5 better than Deebo? Yes, in my humble opinion.

Even if we disagree on that point, I think we both agree there cannot be an absence of outside of WR talent next season.
 
Deebo is a hybrid player not a pure WR like the guys we had in 2024. There is nothing wrong with Deebo. He can be quite an electric player when used appropriately. He's just not a number 1 or number 2 and we asked him to be that in 2025 (because we had no one else).

I liked Oz and Dyami in 2024. Zaccheus had a career season - sometimes certain players and certain QBs just have a connection and I felt like he had that with Jayden. Brown was making some strides and finally looking like he could be a reliable target as well. I don't have a problem with the team moving on from those guys based on their talent record and career stats. I have a problem with them moving on from those guys because they would both have been better depth guys than anyone currently on the roster. If you don't have a surefire plan to replace or upgrade those kinds of players, keep them on your roster until you do. I think Peters has made some 'inconsistent' decisions. Why do you seem to shift to win now mode and trade for guys like Tunsil and Deebo but then create a weakness by undermining your roster depth at the same time (especially when you are rolling in available $$). It just didn't make sense to me. I'm not going to argue that retaining Oz or Brown would've kept the 2025 debacle from happening. But I think it would've been better than what we saw happen.
 
The cycles last longer than 5 years imo. Offenses adopted more spread concepts and more WR’s on the field for two reasons last decade (in addition to the fact that the league had more QB talent than maybe ever before all at once): to exploit heavier LB-dominant defenses that were built over long periods of time to stop the run, and to integrate explosive young skill players faster and easier out of college while they were on cost-controlled rookie contracts. QB and WR production skyrocketed for a good long while. Defenses got lighter and faster and played more DB’s to adjust. A generation of HOF QB’s were unstoppable, and then Mahomes came along and looked like a newer cyborg iteration of that trend. When actually his early peak years were the peak/end of that style, as NFL defenses adopted Fangio’s 2-high coverage to shut down the deep ball (and specifically hamstring Mahomes). But D’s were still lighter and DB-heavy, even though we had just witnessed the end of an era of spread and downfield passing dominance.

It took a while for NFL OC’s to adjust in recent years and go heavier to start taking advantage of the lighter/faster/DB-heavy defenses that were required to match up against the spread shotgun passing games that Manning and Brees perfected, and continued for a while. The creative OC’s have been adapting ever since, going heavier, more TE’s, more PA and motion, and making run and pass look the same to break coverage rules the same way defenses are disguising what they’re doing to break progression rules.

But it takes a while for these things to change because drafting norms and what NFL teams value changes fairly slowly. And then all of a sudden it feels like the whole league changed all at once and you’re watching a different game.

It’s complex, these guys are smarter than ever, and Kliff imo was falling behind. We didn’t wait for him to crash and burn to finally move on, he did a pretty admirable job with a skeleton crew in 2025 after an elite 2024. But it’s one of the only proactive moves I can say I’ve seen this regime make to be honest. It calls into question why Quinn thought Kliff would ever change, and why he hired someone philosophically opposed to him from day one, but he eventually woke up. And I was calling for it immediately after our elite 2024 offense so I’m not rewriting history. The issues I saw (far beyond endangering Daniels, which wasn’t close to my main criticism) continued to worsen.

We had an elite offense in 2024, yes. I strongly believe that was because Jayden Daniels played out of his mind and took the league by storm. I’m not saying Kliff contributed nothing, he played to Daniels’ strengths coming out of college and that was a good transition offense for Jayden. But it couldn’t last forever and you have to rip off the bandaid at some point. If Daniels didn’t make insane throw after insane throw his rookie season, we’d have a much more measured view of Kliff’s 2024 offense. Daniels legitimately played like a top-3 QB for about 3/4 of that rookie season. That’s going to impact perception of results no matter what the offense is, but it doesn’t mean the underlying system or philosophy can’t have longterm flaws.

Kliff was showing extremely stubbornness and not adopting any of the things working around the league. It’s not about playing copycat imo, it’s about being on the bleeding edge and showing that you’re willing to innovate and change when it’s warranted—more than that, it’s about WANTING to find those edges and WANTING to change to stay on the leading edge. Kliff is really good at what he does. But that’s what he does. It may come in and out of vogue, and it may work when the QB is playing out of his mind. But you can be sure that’s what he’s going to be doing, until he shows otherwise. That’s not going to win you anything, longterm, big picture.

You’ve consistently clung to the idea that Kliff is really good and that it’s actually a plus that he does things differently. Even uniquely. And he is really good at what he specifically does, within his box. Yet 2/3 of the NFL just had OC openings and he was never even rumored to be a realistic finalist for any of the jobs. He’s not wanted. Any other narrative is ignoring Occam’s Razor and making excuses for him.

And imo there’s a good reason for that. Not because he’s bucking trends that will come and go, like you mentioned. But because he’ll never CREATE a trend or integrate what works from one. He’ll always be Kliff. Maybe he can learn to be a different version of himself under McVay. That’s a guy who has reinvented himself multiple times to stay at the leading edge.
The Kliff stuff has been hashed and re-hashed enough. I thought he was a very good OC for Washington for the two years he was here. He's not the best OC in the league, however he's certainly not the worst, and of the top level coaches in 2025, I think he unquestionably did the best job of doing his job of him, Quinn and Whitt. But I'll leave it there.

You might be right about the length of the cycles, but I'm not entirely sure. I think everything has been accelerated with analytics and technology, so things which have always been cyclical in life, the cycles are getting shorter for everything in the world. I think you might already be seeing signs of it with position values of LBs and Safeties starting to rise a little bit, and I think that trend might continue. As that happens, the middle of the defenses will become more stout.

The way to defend the more traditional style of offense is to go back to "stop the run" mentality. Defenses have been in "stop the pass" for a while. Now that offenses have adjusted, defenses will start to adjust. I don't think that's going to take as long as you might think.

Remember that the average player's career is less than 3 seasons. Rosters turn over at a rate of something like 20-30% year over year anyway. If GMs decide to put more emphasis on stopping the run, they'll start drafting and signing players with that in mind, and then you're going to see offenses have to adjust in some way.

How long it will take is anybody's guess. I think 5 years in the NFL is an eternity. So I wouldn't be surprised if it was in the next 5 years you start to see a new trend develop.

The really good OCs are the ones who constantly adapt. To me, nobody is better at this than Reid. Kyle and McVay are my next 2. We'll see how the rest of the current hot OCs adapt over time. Some will, some won't.
 
We have indeed gone back-and-forth on KK quite a bit. But at this point, the league has spoken pretty loud and clear. He is apparently not what teams are looking for. Yes, he started strong, just like he always does. And then he faded and failed to adjust, also just like he always does. If you want to say he was/is league average overall, fine, but the success he had here relied too much on the crutch of putting Jayden at great risk. This year exposed it as being unsustainable going forward.

Blough may or may not be ready for prime time, but I’m still glad they decided to change course at this time.
 
Part of this is injury, part is Terry's holdout, but our WR's last year were, to steal a quote from John Riggins, not professional grade.

We were playing with PS level players getting 60-90% of the snaps in most games. That's just bananas. Not by design, but that's the way it turned out.

It's actually why Field Yates was pushing WR, he goes this team were playing dudes off the street and practice squad players, its a big problem.

As for why it happend:

A. Terry hold out
B. The super weird idea of banking on Noah Brown as the Z.
C. Peters striking out, and stirking out big time on finding the next Zaccheus and a Dyami Brown level backup -- Osborn, Moore, Gallup.

the odds were against Peters and big time so on B, and C and it blew up in his face. And its not that none of us could see it coming, I talked about it in the summer among others.

Keim among others don't think they are bringing Deebo back.
 
Yep, you are right, I moved the goal post. My feeling is that OZ and Dyami were better for JD5's development, because they have the skill set needed to pair with his super power. The pure stats were less, but IMO the offense was better with multiple players having their skill set. Definitely not a moratorium on Deebo, but many of us (i.e., ME) thought that would work.

Are they great? No. Do they complement JD5 better than Deebo? Yes, in my humble opinion.

Even if we disagree on that point, I think we both agree there cannot be an absence of outside of WR talent next season.
Ok, thank you for recognizing you moved the goal posts.

However, keep this in mind, the plan was never for Deebo to be the second outside guy. The plan was for Noah Brown to be that guy with probably McCaffery as his backup, and Deebo was the slot guy with Lane as his backup.

The problem was none of that materialized. Terry immediately went out and missed 7 games, Noah Brown missed virtually the entire season, McCaffery didn't take the step forward then broke his clavicle, an Lane was a good returner but still VERY raw as a receiver, and then if I remember correctly, he got hurt.

So what that did is it forced Deebo to do things he was never intended to do. So he became the defacto outside WR because there was literally nobody else to do it. We were already playing Chosen, Moore, guys I have never heard of who were PS level players.

The problem was, and I've posted this a bunch, order of operations was important. The first domino to fall was they traded for Deebo. Then the next is they re-signed Noah Brown to be the other outside guy.

They already had McCaffery under contract and the conventional wisdom (and certainly by FAs and agents) is that with those 2 moves, the Commanders had 4 locked in WRs: McLaurin, NBrown, Deebo and McCaffery. That meant any FA, whether it was OZ, DBrown, or anybody else was going to be competing for the 5th spot on the roster, and that's assuming the team didn't draft anybody. But there was at least a good chance they would (and they did), so then any receiver who signed would be competing for the 6th spot on the roster. Which meant they didn't have another "backup" for the outside on the roster at all.

Really, you ended up with 3 of the 6 WRs who did somewhat of the same thing: Deebo, McCaffery and Lane are all probably better inside guys than outside guys. McClaurin and Brown were really the only 2 pure outside guys. The 6th guy was always PS level. I said this before the season, that was poor roster construction on Peter's part. They needed another outside guy, but they couldn't find one. They looked at all the old washed up veterans who needed an opportunity, and none materialized. The unfortunate part is a lot of this pickle is due to McCaffery not developing as a WR, and Lane not being a good WR (yet) but being a good returner. So your 2 ST returners are also WRs, which makes that roster spot really crowded, and doesn't allow for the right depth. The solution is for McCaffery and Lane to become above replacement level WRs. But that's hope at this point, not a strategy.

Getting back to your original pont, the plan was to use Terry and NBrown on the outside, Deebo as the gadget, move around guy. The plan never materialized. So when you say "did they complement Daniels better than Deebo?" speaking of DBrown and OZ, you shouldn't be comparing Deebo to DBrown and OZ, because the plan was never to have him replace their role. The plan was for NBrown to have that role. But he, as he always does, got hurt immediately and missed the season.
 
I've read your comments in other threads and 100% agree. If AP leaves this offseason w/out doing something major to improve JD's weapons, I'll be out on him.

Back on ES, I commented on my dissatisfaction with AP's 1st FA class because he didn't do more to shore up the o-line. Then, my concern was about protecting the investment in the QB that was about to be drafted, the concern remains the same now that we know who the QB is (but kudos to AP for improving the o-line since that time). The disaster scenario is looking for a new QB after next season, a complete disaster and none of what we think about AP or DQ will matter. They will have submarined our most important asset and they will be finished.

I think in short they got carried away with the 2024 narrative that Jayden can carry this team. I think its unfair to Jayden. The Bears are putting every Christmas present under the tree that they can find for Caleb and Peters seemed to be (hyperbole to make a point) saying ha, ha, ha Caleb and the other young QBs need all the weapons -- our dude is so special that I could I take my uber eats driver and have him catch passes from Jayden. Let the Bears waste their high draft picks and FA cash on weapons -- we will build a cast of mid round draft projects, UFAs, and street FAs and have the last laugh.

And as Josh Harris calls him, I am "fing" Adam Peters. The same dude who found Zaacheus for a ham sandwhich, can build a WR corp with street FAs. Heck some forget that even Noah Brown was a street FA, let go by the Texans and no one had interest in him in FA.

If they write a 30-30 about where it went wrong for that regime, if it went wrong (hopefully of course it doesn't) it would IMO feature as part of the narrative how the FA signing of Zaccheus made Peters thinks he's the God of WR evaluations and Dyami's success later that season is proof that Jayden could throw to anyone.
 
It's actually why Field Yates was pushing WR, he goes this team were playing dudes off the street and practice squad players, its a big problem.

As for why it happend:

A. Terry hold out
B. The super weird idea of banking on Noah Brown as the Z.
C. Peters striking out, and stirking out big time on finding the next Zaccheus and a Dyami Brown level backup -- Osborn, Moore, Gallup.

the odds were against Peters and big time so on B, and C and it blew up in his face. And its not that none of us could see it coming, I talked about it in the summer among others.

Keim among others don't think they are bringing Deebo back.
I agree. I don't actually think Keim has info on that, he might, but I doubt it, I think he's speculating based on what WRs are going to demand and the amount of holes we need to fill, and the role Deebo plays is a luxury to have. And I don't disagree. I think if I was betting, I would also bet they wouldn't bring him back. But I don't think we've seen any real "reporting" on that yet. Just hunches. Maybe informed hunches, but I think it's just hunches.

I'd replace your A. with Terry Injury. The hold out/in was less of a problem than the injury which had him miss essentially half the season.

As I said in the post above, McCaffery + Deebo + Lane made it impossible to find a player to take what is essentially the backup to NBrown/Terry spt on the outside, because anybody coming in would be competing for the 6th WR roster spot. So that's how you ended up with Osborn, Moore, Gallup, and I think a few other useless vets all competing for a spot.

The mistake, BIG mistake was trusting NBrown. They should have moved on from him and signed a more reliable outside WR who can start. Trading for Deebo was fine, I didn't have any problem with that. If NBrown and Terry had stayed healthy all year, I think the trio of Terry, NBrown and Deebo would have been REALLY good. But we never saw it to full effect with Daniels. The only time we really saw it was week 1 and 2, and Terry was still getting into playing shape after sitting out the entire preseason.

The other unfortunate thing is McCaffery was drafted in the 3rd round and he can't be trusted to be a backup outside guy either.

So it all came tumbling down.

They need to entirely re-do the WR room. I wouldn't have any issue if they went WR at #7 if there's a guy they like. They need a replacement plan for Terry anyway.
 
I think in short they got carried away with the 2024 narrative that Jayden can carry this team. I think its unfair to Jayden. The Bears are putting every Christmas present under the tree that they can find for Caleb and Peters seemed to be (hyperbole to make a point) saying ha, ha, ha Caleb and the other young QBs need all the weapons -- our dude is so special that I could I take my uber eats driver and have him catch passes from Jayden. Let the Bears waste their high draft picks and FA cash on weapons -- we will build a cast of mid round draft projects, UFAs, and street FAs and have the last laugh.

And as Josh Harris calls him, I am "fing" Adam Peters. The same dude who found Zaacheus for a ham sandwhich, can build a WR corp with street FAs. Heck some forget that even Noah Brown was a street FA, let go by the Texans and no one had interest in him in FA.

If they write a 30-30 about where it went wrong for that regime, if it went wrong (hopefully of course it doesn't) it would IMO feature as part of the narrative how the FA signing of Zaccheus made Peters thinks he's the God of WR evaluations and Dyami's success later that season is proof that Jayden could throw to anyone.
I don't agree with this. I think you're drawing a conclusion based on a fact pattern that might not be there.

I think they thought they were upgrading the weapons big time by getting Deebo, and they thought NBrown + Deebo + Terry would be really dangerous. You have stretch the field ability + toughness, gadget stuff, it would be really tough to defend.

And I agree with that.

Trusting Noah Brown for that role, however, was the big mistake. And probably not one Peters is going to make again.

As I said, once they signed Brown and traded for Deebo, they cut off the pipeline to any other WR wanting to come here. So they were forced to shop in the aisle of discarded toys, because that's the only aisle which was available to them.

I don't remember who the other WRs were who were available in FA last year, I'd have to go back and look, but I think they looked at the list and held their nose. I remember it beign a very bad list in general. Which is why they traded for Deebo, because they thought he was a guy who could upgrade the room they could lock in and better than what was on the market.

Hindsight being 20/20, they probably should have chosen DBrown or OZ over NBrown, or gone outside to try and get somebody else better for the outside spot.

I think the other thing really hindering the WR is McCaffery is taking up 20% of the roster spots and hasn't developed into a reliable receiver. That's a problem Peters didn't inherit, he created it. But now he's got to live with it.
 
I agree. I don't actually think Keim has info on that, he might, but I doubt it, I think he's speculating based on what WRs are going to demand and the amount of holes we need to fill, and the role Deebo plays is a luxury to have. And I don't disagree. I think if I was betting, I would also bet they wouldn't bring him back. But I don't think we've seen any real "reporting" on that yet. Just hunches. Maybe informed hunches, but I think it's just hunches.

I'd replace your A. with Terry Injury. The hold out/in was less of a problem than the injury which had him miss essentially half the season.

As I said in the post above, McCaffery + Deebo + Lane made it impossible to find a player to take what is essentially the backup to NBrown/Terry spt on the outside, because anybody coming in would be competing for the 6th WR roster spot. So that's how you ended up with Osborn, Moore, Gallup, and I think a few other useless vets all competing for a spot.

The mistake, BIG mistake was trusting NBrown. They should have moved on from him and signed a more reliable outside WR who can start. Trading for Deebo was fine, I didn't have any problem with that. If NBrown and Terry had stayed healthy all year, I think the trio of Terry, NBrown and Deebo would have been REALLY good. But we never saw it to full effect with Daniels. The only time we really saw it was week 1 and 2, and Terry was still getting into playing shape after sitting out the entire preseason.

The other unfortunate thing is McCaffery was drafted in the 3rd round and he can't be trusted to be a backup outside guy either.

So it all came tumbling down.

They need to entirely re-do the WR room. I wouldn't have any issue if they went WR at #7 if there's a guy they like. They need a replacement plan for Terry anyway.

He could be speculating, though even his speculation is almost always based on some item. He doesn't seem hardcore on either point but when asked to bet if Deebo or Wagner are back, he bets against both but he doesn't come off slam dunk on it.

The speculation if that's what driving it seems to be that he's clearly heard that:

A. Want an explosive playmaker who can take advantage of a play action heavy offense

B. Deep threat-speed

Deebo doesn't fit either idea.


I don't agree with this. I think you're drawing a conclusion based on a fact pattern that might not be there.

I think they thought they were upgrading the weapons big time by getting Deebo, and they thought NBrown + Deebo + Terry would be really dangerous. You have stretch the field ability + toughness, gadget stuff, it would be really tough to defend.

And I agree with that.

Trusting Noah Brown for that role, however, was the big mistake. And probably not one Peters is going to make again.

As I said, once they signed Brown and traded for Deebo, they cut off the pipeline to any other WR wanting to come here. So they were forced to shop in the aisle of discarded toys, because that's the only aisle which was available to them.

I don't remember who the other WRs were who were available in FA last year, I'd have to go back and look, but I think they looked at the list and held their nose. I remember it beign a very bad list in general. Which is why they traded for Deebo, because they thought he was a guy who could upgrade the room they could lock in and better than what was on the market.

Hindsight being 20/20, they probably should have chosen DBrown or OZ over NBrown, or gone outside to try and get somebody else better for the outside spot.

I think the other thing really hindering the WR is McCaffery is taking up 20% of the roster spots and hasn't developed into a reliable receiver. That's a problem Peters didn't inherit, he created it. But now he's got to live with it.

I know you don't agree we've argued this several times. As i told you last time, I don't think the team would even agree with you. Keim has flat out said in a podcast he knows the team thought they weren't where they needed to be at WR and edge and were taking chances on those spots but felt they needed another off season before they can accomplish what they wanted.

You are just giving a narrative for how it can work out. Sure, but I can do the same for any spot just about.

Lets go D line as an example: What if D. Wise rediscovered his peak form from NE, renergized by new surroundings. Jacob Martin has been sneaky good, Von Miller too if you match their reps to pressures-sacks in their previous stints. J Kinlaw was a high first round pick, in limit snaps he was around 5 sacks for the Jets. Daron Payne is energized to play without Jonathan Allen. J. Newton was considered a first rounder, a year removed from his surgery. Year 2 under Whitt. Boom! Lets win a SB.

OK I'll do WR. Noah was banged up some but when he played exceeded expectations, give him year 2 in the system, and we got ourselves a Z and on the cheap? Then you add Deebo to play slot. So Noah and Deebo and Terry that's not bad. Jayden proved he can throw to anyone last year. So backups should be fine. Gallup hasn't played in over a year but in his prime he was a good Z. So there is Noah's backup. We don't know if McCaffrey and Lane are ready but heck they should at least be servicable backups to Deebo in the slot. And Chris Moore isn't a burn burner but is being an OK backup type so he can cover Terry at X and heck Terry never gets hurt anyway,

OK now let me tear the if and buts were candy and nuts, we'd all have a Merry Christmas narrative

A. As Keim said Peters thought Gallup, Osborn, C. Moore would work out at least as backups. He swung and he missed. Was that well planned? nope. they were all street FAs. Odds were against all of them.

B. No one in FA? The SB had Diggs and Kupp and Hollins who signed in FA. Devonte Adams almost made the SB. Darius Slayton would have been an upgrade. Heck even Keenan Allen. You can do better than Noah easily let alone their scrub backups

C. Noah as the starting Z was a joke. He's a 4th WR on most teams when healthy let alone he can never stay heallthy

D. They didn't want to pay Terry bigger money in part because the history of 30 plus year olds at the position which is heavily about injuries. Yet it didn't occur to them he might be more injury prone in his 30s?

You point is somewhat Deebo, Deebo, Deebo, case closed. And you can explain the other moves. So Deebo coupled with explanations for what else shows their ambition. My response is an injury prone street FA at Z. Counting on three street FAs as back ups. 2 mid round project WRs. And assuming age is only a number for Terry while basically negotiating with him like they don't believe in that line at all and are willing to risk a hold out to prove that point -- wasn't them taking WR seriously.

And on Deebo specifically, yeah that's indeed an expensive slot Wr, bravo but to offset that they had street FAs as the starting Z and in key roles as backups. So its like you add truffles to your thanksgiving side dishes but to make up for that expense you got ramen noodles and kraft mac and cheese as the other side dishes.

If you want to defend them, here's the best defense IMO

A. If Adams can find Zaccheus why not trust him to find the next Zaccheus and for that matter the net behind Naoh Brown?

B. Jayden is special. If he can make lemoande out of lemons from Crowder, Zaccheus, Dyami you bet he could do it with Osborn, Chris Moore, Michael Gallup if needed.
 
Last edited:
I'll add that Ben Standig who if you follow him is the king of don't spend top resources on the receiving corp is also among the WTF are they doing at WR crowd last year and actually took that question to Peters about their reliance of Noah Brown at Z, and Peters to his credit did allude to making mistakes and had designs on some WRs but were out of their price range and he learned from that experience.
 
skinsinparadise I wasn't suggesting they didn't make mistakes, or that the plan made sense. You tag an extreme amount of arrogance or hubris to Peters in your posts, and that was what I was pushing back on. I don't think it was arrogance. I think it was a bad strategy which became a worse strategy. And that's going to happen from time to time with an inexperienced GM.

I think they really thought they were doing the right thing by getting an additional weapon in Deebo, upgrading the OL with Tunsil and then (eventually) drafting Connerly. They also thought Robinson was "eh" and they could get production from Ekler and CRob.

The biggest mistake they made was re-signing Noah Brown and then counting on him. I think the timing of that is also interesting, it happened on March 18th, 6 days after the start of free agency on March 12th. It's possible they tried to get some of the other WRs in the first 6 days and couldn't get one to sign. I believe Keim said there were others they were targeting. Maybe they just didn't want to pay the money after they traded for Deebo, which, in hindsight, was a mistake.

I don't know what exactly happened. What I do know is that they needed a guy they could trust on the outside more than Noah Brown, but they ended up with Noah Brown, and he did what Noah Brown always does, and got hurt immediately.

But I also don't think it was extreme arrogance or hubris. I think it was a bad plan. They needed to spend more money on WR even after trading for Deebo and re-signing Terry, and they didn't.
 


This is where Blough and our new additions can really make a difference, but healthy Jayden and Terry really is the bedrock of it. You make explosive plays in this league, you score TD’s at a high rate. You don’t, you don’t. Simple. Now simple isn’t easy, of course.
 
skinsinparadise I wasn't suggesting they didn't make mistakes, or that the plan made sense. You tag an extreme amount of arrogance or hubris to Peters in your posts, and that was what I was pushing back on. I don't think it was arrogance. I think it was a bad strategy which became a worse strategy. And that's going to happen from time to time with an inexperienced GM.

I think they really thought they were doing the right thing by getting an additional weapon in Deebo, upgrading the OL with Tunsil and then (eventually) drafting Connerly. They also thought Robinson was "eh" and they could get production from Ekler and CRob.

The biggest mistake they made was re-signing Noah Brown and then counting on him. I think the timing of that is also interesting, it happened on March 18th, 6 days after the start of free agency on March 12th. It's possible they tried to get some of the other WRs in the first 6 days and couldn't get one to sign. I believe Keim said there were others they were targeting. Maybe they just didn't want to pay the money after they traded for Deebo, which, in hindsight, was a mistake.

I don't know what exactly happened. What I do know is that they needed a guy they could trust on the outside more than Noah Brown, but they ended up with Noah Brown, and he did what Noah Brown always does, and got hurt immediately.

But I also don't think it was extreme arrogance or hubris. I think it was a bad plan. They needed to spend more money on WR even after trading for Deebo and re-signing Terry, and they didn't.
I also think the plan got sabotaged by injuries. We never really got to see the plan in motion. Amazingly, not even in the preseason.
 
I also think the plan got sabotaged by injuries. We never really got to see the plan in motion. Amazingly, not even in the preseason.
Agreed. You just can't overcome that many injuries through a team.

Just on Noah Brown, I've been impressed with the tough catches & courage in traffic, still hauling it in despite what's coming his way. People say he's injury prone but he's one guy that will put his body on the line. Coaches love that
 

Users Who Are Viewing This Thread (Total: 0, Members: 0, Guests: 0)

Help Users

You haven't joined any rooms.

    You haven't joined any rooms.
    Top