Now that the first week of free agency is over, we have a pretty good indication of what the teams picking in the top 5 will do. I have no idea what the Giants will do at 6, but the moves made by the teams at the top are signaling what direction they are going. This could still change as there is more than a month until the draft, but as of right now, this is how I see it:
1. Chicago - QB
2. Washington - QB
3. New England - QB
4. Arizona - WR
5. Chargers - WR or LT
The Chargers could go either way and depending on who they like and who is available, but they no longer have their top 2 WR. They could also move up or down. I think everyone else is locked in to picking what is listed above based on their moves so far.
If I’m Peter’s, I’m not trading out of the top 5. There is too much risk of not getting a QB if you drop too low. Unless you think one of the lesser QBs is your guy. I don’t see that happening though since I don’t expect Mariota to be the guy either. But he could trade down to 5 and still get a QB. Likely one of the top 3, but definitely one of the top 4. I just can’t see AZ or LAC passing up on Harrison if they have a chance to take him. I believe the Giants will sit there and take whoever falls to them, whether it’s a QB, LT, or WR. They also will get their pick of the top defensive player since the top 5 will almost certainly be offense. The Vikings are lurking as well and could trade with any team in the top 5. I believe that going below the top 5 puts you at risk of missing out.