No you shouldn't The magic might be gone. But it doesn't change the fact that Overanalyze will take it. If you want to bet a trifecta, go Overanalyze, Java's War and Verrazano.
If it pays off, enjoy. If not........
It's all a gamble, nothing is guaranteed. Calvin Borel the toothless wonder is riding a great horse in Revolutionary, and he's probably the best Derby jockey there's ever been. But he won't be able to find the rail early like he likes to do, and they'll squeeze him out because they all hate him.
Java's War is a longshot and has killer breakneck speed, but the wet track and 19th post will take away that advantage. Verrazano has the most steady running style of any horse in the field, and never changes pace from start to finish. Running in the mud could give him a huge advantage over other horses.
But from the start, Overanalyze has been the horse in my gut. Remember, last year was year 13. That alone screwed with my head. This year a new streak will begin
Unless the 13 in 2013 curse me too