Vegas: Bills Favored By 5 Over Redskins

[McD5]

The Bills, coming off the bye week, are early 5 point favorites next weekend.

 

[Lanky Livingston]

Take the 5 points straight to the bank. The Bills should roll us by 14 or more, IMO.

EDIT: especially if the injuries to Fletcher and Atogwe keep them out.

 

[Henry]

That's it? Man, that's a gift.

 

[Lanky Livingston]

That's it? Man, that's a gift.

My thoughts exactly. I can't bet on Bodog until tomorrow - I'm assuming the spread will be around -30* by then. Sigh.


*this is sarcasm, it will only be around -27.

 

[Ax]

Take the 5 points straight to the bank.

I agree. We'll win straight up.

 

[SkinsOrlando]

Only 5 points?? That's going to be adjusted quickly
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[Fear The Spear]

This is a game we win.

Because it's a game the Redskins are not supposed to win.

That's how we roll.....in reverse.

 

[Lanky Livingston]

We weren't supposed to win the Carolina game and we didn't win. Where was that strategy Sunday?!?!?

 

[Fear The Spear]

We weren't supposed to win the Carolina game

Really ? By what analysis were we "not supposed to win" ? Just the Las Vegas line ? We're clearly a better team than Carolina.

 

[McD5]

Really ? By what analysis were we "not supposed to win" ? Just the Las Vegas line ? We're clearly a better team than Carolina.

Carolina was favored by 3. I'm not sure why you feel we are clearly a better team.

Ditto for the Eagles the week before.

 

[Lanky Livingston]

Really ? By what analysis were we "not supposed to win" ? Just the Las Vegas line ? We're clearly a better team than Carolina.

Clearly! We only lost by 13 points! A team worse than Carolina would have lost by at least TWICE that!

 

[LKB]

I would take the Skins and the points this week, but I would probably wait a few days because that line may go up.

 

[Fear The Spear]

Carolina was favored by 3. I'm not sure why you feel we are clearly a better team.

Ditto for the Eagles the week before.

You're basing who should have won, based on Vegas. Great logic.
And the Eagles the week before further supports my point. A game we should have won, that we lose. The only exception to the rule this year was the Rams game. And we BARELY beat them, a team we should have clobbered.

Clearly! We only lost by 13 points! A team worse than Carolina would have lost by at least TWICE that!

This is about who was supposed to win - who was expected to win - not who won. Basing who was supposed to win before the game, by using the results after game, makes zero sense.

 

[Lanky Livingston]

And I was supposed to win the lottery last week. I'll be damned if it didn't happen!

Are you serious right now? Vegas lines are what they are for a reason - we were underdogs and supposed to lose. Then, they played the actual game, and they did lose. By a lot more than the spread (for the second week in a row).

 

[servumtuum]

Hmmmm...I am waiting to see if I see this phrase show up anywhere;

"We should lose this game"

I may have overlooked it but I don't recall ever seeing it anywhere.

As far as that 5 point line goes, it'll change as money jumps all over the Bills-if that indeed happens. Bettors are much less likely to go to extremes of expectation in either direction than fans, I think. Lines in excess of 15 points are extremely rare because even if there is what appears to be a severe mis-match the bettors will worry about the favorite covering a 15+ point spread enough to cause enough money to be dumped on the "dog" to keep the line within two scores or just a bit more.

 

[McD5]

The line is now up to 6 points. News of Fletcher and Moss is likely driving it higher.

 

[Dead Money]

The words "betting" and "redskins" just aren't in my vocabulary together.
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[Jimbo]

We're playing the Bills in Toronto. Five points U.S. translates to 12 Canadian.