Burner's Burning Questions: Free Agency, The Mock Drafts, 2017 (Continual Updates)

Burgundy, if the Redskins can get the #2 overall pick, this year's #3 and next year's #2 for Cousins, I would trade his rights in a heartbeat.

Kirk is a good player, not an elite one. Paying him franchise money, whether on a one year deal or a longer term contract, if you buy into the 'value' philosophy which Belichick and Elway do, you don't pay solid to good players an elite salary.

You take the picks, save the cap room, and trust your GM to find capable replacements.

Here's what Bulldog will look like if the 49ers give all of that up to get Cousins:

:dance: :dance: :dance: :dance: :dance: :dance:
 
Burgundy, if the Redskins can get the #2 overall pick, this year's #3 and next year's #2 for Cousins, I would trade his rights in a heartbeat.

Kirk is a good player, not an elite one. Paying him franchise money, whether on a one year deal or a longer term contract, if you buy into the 'value' philosophy which Belichick and Elway do, you don't pay solid to good players an elite salary.

No, I think Bellichik would definitely hold onto Kirk.

Compare the first 2 complete seasons of Kirk and Brady.
Kirk beats him in every single category.....some by a huge margin.

Cousins in 2015
379/543 69.8% 4,166 yds 7.7 Avg per Att 29 TD 11 INT 101.6 Rating
Cousins in 2016
406/606 67.0% 4,917 yds 8.1 Avg per Att 25 TD 12 INT 97.2 Rating

Brady in 2001
264/413 63.9% 2,843 yds 6.9 Avg per Att 18 TD 12 INT 86.5 Rating
Brady in 2002
373/601 62.1% 3,764 yds 6.3 Avg per Att 28 TD 14 INT 85.7 Rating
 
Uh, Brady won the Super Bowl.

But I'm sure he'd rather have those pretty stats instead.
 
One difference in the comparisons.

Brady was a 2000 draft pick, so in 2001 and 2002 he was 23/24 years old working on a rookie contract.

Kirk will be 29 years old next season and is looking to be paid a top 5-7 salary for a quarterback.

The value/expenditure issue didn't come up for Brady in New England because by the time the Patriots re-did his deal and signed him long-term he had already won 2 Super Bowls and was still only 25/26 years old.
 
Free Agency, The Mock Drafts, 2017 (Continual Updates)​

Greetings from BBQ. We hope the new year is going well for you.

The offseason has officially started for the Redskins and today we have a look at free agency with new coordinators. With that in mind, we will have a rare second mock in the month of January coming later this week. The mocks will increase in frequency until the very moment we reach the draft. We will look at our own free agents including those who are re-signed, released, and those who may not return. We will list candidates to be released and the cap savings/hit. We’ll provide updates as needed.

We will no longer list free agents from other teams, just team needs for the Redskins.

We take the latest chatter from Redskins Park and media pundits as BBQ tries to formulate what could happen in the coming days, weeks and months. Who will the Redskins target, re-sign and release? Feel free to offer your ideas on free agency and the draft.

Team Needs:
Free Safety
Defensive Line
Wide Receiver
Inside Linebacker
Left Guard
Running Back

Free Agents Obtained:
A.J. Francis, DT
Phil Taylor, DT
Earl Wolff, SS

Free Agents Re-signed:
Nick Sundberg, LS

Unrestricted Free Agents:
Kirk Cousins, QB – (Will be re-signed, franchised, or franchised/traded)
Pierre Garcon, WR – (Possibly re-signed)
DeSean Jackson, WR – (Very likely walks)
Chris Baker, DL – (Possibly re-signed)
Vernon Davis, TE – (Possibly re-signed)
Terence Garvin, ST – (Unknown)
John Sullivan, C – (Unknown)
Greg Toler, CB – (Likely walks)
Duke Ihenacho, SS – (Unknown)
Ziggy Hood, DE – (Possibly walks)
Cullen Jenkins, DL - (Very likely walks)
Donte Whitner, SS – (Very likely walks)
Vinston Painter, OT – (Unknown)
Kedric Golston, DL (Likely walks)
Junior Galette, OLB – (Very likely re-signs)
Josh Evans, SS – (Possibly Walks)


Restricted Free Agents:
Chris Thompson, RB – (Very likely Tendered)
Ty Nsehke, OT – (Likely Tendered)
Will Compton, ILB – (Unknown)

Exclusive Rights Free Agents:

Possible Cuts, Cap Savings, Candidates For Restructure:
Shawn Lauvao, LG – (Possibly released - $4 Mil saved if cut)
Kory Lichtensteiger, C - (Very likely released - $3.5 Mil saved if cut)
Mason Foster, ILB - (Unknown – $1.225 Mil saved if cut)
Will Blackmon, FS - (Unknown - $1.0 Mil saved if cut)
Derek Carrier, TE - (Unknown - $1.075 Mil saved if cut)
Matt Jones, RB – (Likely Released - $1.218 Mil saved if cut)
Ryan Grant, WR – (Unknown – $690K saved if cut)
Zach Vigil, ILB – (Unknown - $615K saved if cut)
DeAngelo Hall, FS – (Unknown - $4.25 Mil saved if cut)
Niles Paul, TE – (Unknown - $2.0 Mil saved if cut)

Suspension:
Silas Redd, RB – (Released)

Offseason Updates:
With the hiring of new defensive assistant coach Jim Tomsula, expect a huge investment on the defensive this offseason.

With the hiring/promotion of Greg Manusky, expect a much more aggressive defense in all phases of the game.

With the hiring/promotion of Matt Cavanaugh, expect a much more aggressive and consistent offense in red zone.

There continues to be a growing chorus of insiders and pundits who think Bashaud Breeland could be moving to free safety.

There seems to be a strong interest on both sides for impending free agent receiver Kenny Britt. Look for a deal to get done on the first day of free agency.

Personal Thoughts:
If Junior Galette is re-signed, it should be for the veteran minimum and nothing more.

My likely to be released list includes DeAngelo Hall, Kory Lichtensteiger, Shawn Lauvao (just a gut feeling), Matt Jones, and Ryan Grant (just another gut feeling).

I also think it is possible that the team moves on from Niles Paul. I would prefer to keep him, but this is just a wildcard feeling.

If the team cuts ties with DeAngelo Hall, BBQ wouldn’t mind seeing him in a front office role.

Hail To The Redskins!
 
Burgundy Burner@BurgundyBurner
The Redskins had a meeting today with the following player at the Senior Bowl:

Forrest Lamp, G, Western Kentucky
 
I wouldn't be shocked to see Kirk get tagged bearing in mind that they have until mid-July to hammer out a long term deal (or a trade if that's your preference). If not, the tag is probably $24M. Tag money is the larger of top 5 QB average or 120% of last years salary of $20M comes to $24M.

Out of FA DE's, Baker was #4 in production behind Campbell ($11M); JPP ($10M) and just a tad behind Branch ($2.75M). #3 in bucks was Jabaal Sheard ($5.5M). Chris was #6 in money at $3M so he's going to get a healthy raise by someone. $7.5 million or so doesn't seem out of line. I'd pay him (probably in the minority) or try and get Branch (2 years younger) especially if they dump Lauvao, Kory & Hall, about $10M in savings. Branch had 1 more tackle, 1 more sack & 2 more QB hits so the production difference was minimal but I suspect Andre will get the bigger salary between the two being 27 plus I don't see Miami letting him go anywhere.

Cut Paul (save $2M) & Carrier ($1M) then resign Vernon for around $2.5M to $3M. Outside of last year Paul has actually been fairly healthy (missed 4 games in 4 years) but
5 seasons 18 starts; 55 rec/762 yards/13.9 ave/2 TDs and Davis
1 season 14 starts; 44 rec/583 yards/13.3 ave/2 TDs plus Davis is a much better blocker.

And draft a TE. This is a very deep draft at TE, shouldn't pass up the opportunity.
Sleeper guy they might like - Jeremy Sprinkle, TE, Arkansas. Better blocker than you normally get out of college and he blocked a lot with the Arkansas running game. Didn't get a lot of receptions (27) last year but averaged 14+ yards a catch and caught 6 TDs.

addendum: He's 6-6/255 so a bigger guy (larger than any Redskin TE). Those guys don't tend to get injured as often.
 
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the best way to see how different this team is from how it was run the past several seasons, is that there are only a couple guys who are obvious "cut to save" just a couple guys who are paid way more than they are worth. Lick and lauvuo gotta go, we need a FA centre/guard to push both spots. on D we need a full revamp so I doubt we sign baker unless we are gonna use him at 3tech because otherwise he is a 3-4 end and not a nose. its too bad about matt jones, i was really hoping he would be better. anyway if gruden can keep from screwing up, we should be that much better next year if we draft mainly D with a sprinkle of Oline
 
DeSean is still in his prime, leading the league in very impressive categories.
With the possible loss of both Doctson and Garcon, I think it remains crucial to re-sign him.
If we don't the Rams or Phily will, and we will regret it, in those games, at least.
We got the cap money, too.

DeSean Jackson checked in with his fifth 1,000-yard season this year. He also led the league in yards per reception (17.9) for the third time in his career. Jackson averaged a strong 2.89 yards of separation despite averaging a whopping 16.3 air yards per target from Kirk Cousins. Jackson was the only receiver in the NFL this year to average more than 16 air yards per target and register more than 80 targets on the season

DeSean Jackson among Top-10 No. 2 WRs in separation - NFL.com
 
The Redskins have met with the following players this week at the Senior Bowl:

Forrest Lamp, G, Western Kentucky
Ryan Glasgow, DT, Michigan
Brendan Langley, CB, Lamar
 
DeSean is still in his prime, leading the league in very impressive categories.
With the possible loss of both Doctson and Garcon, I think it remains crucial to re-sign him.
If we don't the Rams or Phily will, and we will regret it, in those games, at least.
We got the cap money, too.

DeSean Jackson among Top-10 No. 2 WRs in separation - NFL.com

I'm on the fence with this one...

There were times this season when he didn't look as fleet of foot as previously and struggled to get the separation I've seen him get in years gone by. I know he was complaining about Hamstring issues early in the season, so maybe that was holding him up some. Athletes peak at 26 or 27 years old, which just about coincides with his best season at the Eagles in 2013. If he is getting nagging aches and pains that are on occasion putting a handbrake on his speed... well that's only going to get worse as he gets older. What sort of deal would we want to put him on? What deal is he looking for? And will we be paying for a player in decline who struggles to stay on the field?

That being said...

I like what DJax gives us. He tracks the ball well and gives us a downfield threat that Cousins can sometimes hook up with to devastating effect. For such a small guy he's been remarkably durable this year despite the aches and pains. Only missing one game this year, especially with the way we played him sometimes. Some of the hits he took... Garcon is built to take them... DJax not so much, so that impressed me.

And he's undeniably a game changer.

Plus... while we do have Crowder who had somewhat of a breakout season this year, we might lose Garcon and there's a strong possibility that Doctson might be a bust. Which leaves us in a pretty bad position at the WR spot just one year removed from having one of the best WR Corps in the league.

So... fence. My ass. Sitting on.

If it was my choice I'd resign him or at least try. I'd very much like to keep the Crowder/Garcon/Jackxon trio intact. I think if we did, and this offense continues the steps it made this year and inproves in the redzone... then we could have the three 1000 yard WR's that we were so close to this year. Plus Reed and Davis of course.

We have Cap room... But I'd be wary about breaking the bank to keep him if it's at the expense of our Defense.

And if it comes down to a choice between Garcon and Djax... I'd go with Garson. I think he'll age better being the type of receiver he is and is a more versatile weapon.
 
The Redskins have met with the following players this week at the Senior Bowl:

Forrest Lamp, G, Western Kentucky
Ryan Glasgow, DT, Michigan
Brendan Langley, CB, Lamar

Is Ryan little brother to Graham (Center) who was drafted last year?
 
The Redskins have met with the following
players this week at the Senior Bowl:

Forrest Lamp, G, Western Kentucky
Ryan Glasgow, DT, Michigan
Brendan Langley, CB, Lamar
Josh Reynolds, WR, Texas A&M
Marquez White, CB, Florida St.
Ben Gedeon, ILB, Michigan
Tarell Basham, DE/OLB, Ohio
Zach Banner, OT/G, Southern Cal
 
The mock draft that is scheduled for tomorrow is moved to Monday. I really want to examine some of these prospects a bit closer this weekend and watch/re-watch the Senior Bowl.
 

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