The Good Stuff...

If the Cowboys lose this weekend (quite possible) we are a daunting single win out of 1st place in the NFC East race. The season is far from lost.


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Redskins have improved this season

There's still a little something left to chew on after the Giants ate our lunch.

Tandler's take
Five areas where the Redskins have improved this season

The Redskins are 1-2 and what they have done wrong has been discussed and rehashed in great detail. But they have been doing some things right and at this point, just under a fifth of the way through the season, the numbers are beginning to take on a degree of statistical significance. Let’s take a look at some of them.

Third down conversions—The Redskins have converted 44.4 percent of their third downs, compared to a pathetic 31.5 percent last year. Their rushing game has helped but even against the Giants, when they struggled to run, they converted at a 40 percent clip (6/15).

Opponent passer rating—Last year even average quarterbacks played like Ben Roethlisberger against the Redskins as they had a 108.3 passer rating against them. This year they guys they play against are more like Derek Carr. A 96.3 rating isn’t quite where they want it to be but it is a significant improvement.

Points allowed per game—After giving up 27.4 points per game last year, nearly a touchdown per quarter, they are down to 19.7. Their current average ranks eighth in the NFL.

Sack percentage (offense)—Kirk Cousins has plenty of flaws and the offensive line still has to gel but between them they are doing a much better job at avoiding sacks. Last year the Redskins were sacked on 9.6 percent of their pass drop backs. This year the rate is 3.6 percent. That has undoubtedly helped them with their third down conversions (see above) since they don’t have as far to go.

Red zone scoring—The Redskins have scored a touchdown on 66.7 percent of their red zone possessions. Last year they punched it in for six from inside the 20 just 47.9 percent of time
 
Tandler clearly doesn't know Gruden is a moron, Kirk is a noodle-armed INT Machine, Robert is a victimized distraction and our owner sleeps with dyspeptic yaks.
 
I wouldn't do that to you, brother. Some things you can't un-see.
 
obviously...the data has strong covariance in places: e.g., just guessing here, but sacks are down because we're running more?

what's going to happen when teams shut the running game down? or we face offenses that score/build a lead early? I know those are two things that go to the front of my gameplan if I'm coaching against the Skins.

the good news is that Philly is on a downward spiral. for at least this game we have the edge.
 
Sigh ......


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I don't disagree with most of what Tandler wrote. Looking for positives is fine.

I would like to point out, however, that had he written the same sort of article last season after three games I'm sure he could have found lots of statistical improvements over 2013. I'm not sure I agree that the numbers do take on a degree of statistical significance yet.

Let's just hope the improvements he notes continue throughout the season.
 
I think that stats aside, there are some improvements that pass the eye test. We'll see if they last. I'm a fan and can't go through a season without trying to find some positive. Otherwise, no point in following the team. I love me some Touchbacks. :)
 
we need to be a team that goes out with a solid game plan in the first half that we know executes, and then comes back out after halftime having changed things that we know they are going to adjust to and what we can adjust to. to me, its as simple as adjusting both planned and on the fly.

we have 2 GREAT running backs
we have 2 or 3 VERY GOOD wide receivers
we have a GREAT tight end
our offensive line looks stellar right now

if we can just learn to adjust properly (or even at all) we can be good.
 
Tandler clearly doesn't know Gruden is a moron, Kirk is a noodle-armed INT Machine, Robert is a victimized distraction and our owner sleeps with dyspeptic yaks.

Give him time. He is in the media and they are sometimes the last to know. ;)
 
Give him time. He is in the media and they are sometimes the last to know. ;)

I don't know, seems like they've lead on most of this mess for 2 decades. :) We seem to be the last to admit it. ;)
 
obviously...the data has strong covariance in places: e.g., just guessing here, but sacks are down because we're running more?

what's going to happen when teams shut the running game down? or we face offenses that score/build a lead early? I know those are two things that go to the front of my gameplan if I'm coaching against the Skins.

the good news is that Philly is on a downward spiral. for at least this game we have the edge.

There is a stat that resolves the problem of sack-per-game or total sacks being a function of run/pass ratio and that is percentage of pass attempts resulting in the QB being sacked.

These are the Percentages of pass attempts resulting in sacks for the Redskins during the regular season for the 2012, 2013 and 2014 seasons

2012-6.9% 21st in the league

2013- 6.6% 14th in the league

2014-9.6$ 30th in the league

So far this season -3.6% 10th in the league.

Granted some of this may be due in part to Cousins gaining mobility due to coaching but it still suggests an improvement in OL protection.


Source: Sacked Percentage: 2015 NFL Season
 
Curious Serv- when would a sack occur without a pass being attempted?
 
Curious Serv- when would a sack occur without a pass being attempted?

This is from the glossary of terms on the site where I found the info.

"In order for a sack to be recorded, it must be obvious that the quarterback either intends to throw a forward pass, or is still in the "pocket" without a clear objective for the play. If officials determine that the play was intended as a rush, a tackle of the quarterback does not result in a sack and is recorded as negative rushing yardage by the quarterback."
 
I thought this was a 'good stuff' thread?
 
obviously...the data has strong covariance in places: e.g., just guessing here, but sacks are down because we're running more?

what's going to happen when teams shut the running game down? or we face offenses that score/build a lead early? I know those are two things that go to the front of my gameplan if I'm coaching against the Skins.

the good news is that Philly is on a downward spiral. for at least this game we have the edge.

Or that we have a QB who actually understands how to play QB in the NFL...not a RB behind center.
 

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