The 2026 Free Agency Thread

I get the instinct — the room feels thin, Jayden is young, and you want to insulate him with as many credible options as possible. But there’s a difference between upgrading the room and over-allocating resources to one position group. Let’s just walk through the math calmly. We’ve got roughly $73M in cap space. If Lattimore is released, that bumps to about $93M. The draft class will eat roughly $13M, so now we’re around $80M. You have to keep at least a $10M in-season cushion for injuries and emergency signings, so realistically you’re operating with about $70M. And that’s to sign roughly 12 players — not counting camp bodies or the six draft picks. If you sign two legitimate WRs — say one at $20M AAV (structured at ~$16M year one) and another at $12M AAV (structured at ~$8M year one) — that’s $24M in Year 1 cap hits. Now you’re down to about $46M for 10 players. And that’s before addressing:
  • A starting guard (or re-signing Chris Paul)
  • Possibly Isaiah Likely
  • A high-end RB if that’s part of the plan
  • 4–5 starting-caliber defensive additions (edge, CB, LB, maybe safety)
  • Depth across OL and DL
That money disappears fast. You can absolutely sign one high-end WR and still be balanced. But signing two quality WRs and using the #7 overall pick on a WR? That’s how you create positional surplus while other units become weak links. You don’t win because you have the best WR room. You win because you don’t have structural holes. The last two Super Bowl Champs the Eagles and Seahawks and very good overall rosters.

Look at recent examples:
  • The Dolphins had Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle — arguably the best duo in football — and still stalled when the OL and defense weren’t consistent.
  • The Cowboys had CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens — didn’t matter when protection and run defense broke down.
  • The Bengals had Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins — elite room, but the OL and defense limited ceiling.
High-end WR duos don’t override roster imbalance. The league has shown that repeatedly.

Not speaking for the poster you are replying to but my move would be someone like Pittman at $20M a year (if no Aiyuk) and then a couple Dyami Brown/OZ type of signings (one outside receiver and one slot) at $2M-$3M a year.

Would give you Terry, Pittman, Dyami, OZ, Burks, Lane, LMC. This is before factoring in a possible pick.

In this scenario, at least 1 of the bottom 5 gets cut at the end of camp (maybe 0 if Burks doesn’t make it through camp and gets IR’ed to start the season)
 
So something like;

RB White
WR Wandale or Nailor
TE Goeddert
Edge Mafe
LB Wilson or Dean
CB Wright
S Brisker

Not saying those players specifically, but that calibre.

I know you aren’t saying specific players but I go back and forth on Mafe. He is probably going to get $15M+ a year from someone but, based off his production incl pressures, how much better is he than someone like Ossai or Koonce?
 
I very seriously doubt a trade. He is way overpaid at his current number

I doubt it but with the dearth of good WR FAs I wonder if a cap rich WR hungry team does it. I think you have to pay the base if I recall in a trade? 22 million. the other 7 million which takes you to 29 -- signing bonus, etc, I think the Colts have to eat but maybe I am wrong.
 
To follow up - listening to Finlay live now and he said Tunsil is "the only active contract negotiation" right now. Sounds to me like they are trying hard to get this one done sooner rather than later.
Hopefully they get it done soon before somebody like Trent Williams, who is already old, signs for 30+ Mil.
 
Yep. Keim for weeks as I've mentioned seems to allude not to rule it out with Aiyuk.

I understand those who are hesitant with Aiyuk... totally makes sense. That said, it's hard to imagine a better fit for a reclamation project than us... we have $$$, we need the position, and he wants to play here. If he's willing to sign a contract with minimal guarantees, it seems to 100% be worth the risk.
 
I understand those who are hesitant with Aiyuk... totally makes sense. That said, it's hard to imagine a better fit for a reclamation project than us... we have $$$, we need the position, and he wants to play here. If he's willing to sign a contract with minimal guarantees, it seems to 100% be worth the risk.

To me its about his knee. I trust Peters gut about the person since he drafted him.
 
I know you aren’t saying specific players but I go back and forth on Mafe. He is probably going to get $15M+ a year from someone but, based off his production incl pressures, how much better is he than someone like Ossai or Koonce?
Koonce has the injury question, but agreed they are all in the same tier.

I don't love any of the FA edges available, I'd rather roll the dice on 2 of the lowered ranked players as opposed to a top 3 guy like Hendrickson or Phillips.
 


I’m sure they figure it out and this is a leak from Trent’s agent, but if not…this Tunsil thing could drag out for a while. Not sure he’d want to put pen to paper before seeing what Trent gets on the open market, in that scenario.
 
I understand those who are hesitant with Aiyuk... totally makes sense. That said, it's hard to imagine a better fit for a reclamation project than us... we have $$$, we need the position, and he wants to play here. If he's willing to sign a contract with minimal guarantees, it seems to 100% be worth the risk.
Not to mention the dearth of (good) FA options. Desperate times/desperate measures and all that… we will need a more reasonable backup plan (to Aiyuk) than a Chris Moore type though.
 
I really don't know that I want to see Brandon Coleman being given another shot at guard. Maybe with two offseasons he could do it, but the kid looks solid to good at tackle and he really struggled at guard.
I thought i remember reading that Coleman was playing injured and that is the belief as to why he struggled so bad. And that he was healthy again before seeing the field.
 


I’m sure they figure it out and this is a leak from Trent’s agent, but if not…this Tunsil thing could drag out for a while. Not sure he’d want to put pen to paper before seeing what Trent gets on the open market, in that scenario.

My fingers are crossed that AP gets on the Tunsil extension and that the Niners lose Trentt
 
This is good news for Ertz. Is it good news for the Commanders? I mean, he had a good run in Washington but time to move on

NFL Network’s Tom Pelissero reports Zach Ertz (ACL) intends to return for a 14th season in 2026, and that he hopes to be cleared “right around” Week 1.
The 35-year-old was injured in early December. Ertz had already become a catch-and-fall specialist even before his injury, but he has maintained a route-running savvy and strong pair of hands. His injury timeline makes him a tricky bet early in free agency, perhaps making it more likely he holds out for more guaranteed money on the eve of training camp. By then, teams will have a better idea of his health, as well as their own needs.
 

Users Who Are Viewing This Thread (Total: 6, Members: 0, Guests: 6)

Help Users

You haven't joined any rooms.

    You haven't joined any rooms.
    Top