The 2026 Draft Thread - 1st Round - 7th overall

Brian Flores supposedly not under contract, if he's available it would be an incredible get.

I was watching much of the Giants game and Dart was confused as heck.
 
Brian Flores supposedly not under contract, if he's available it would be an incredible get.

I was watching much of the Giants game and Dart was confused as heck.

What a fumble on their part, given I doubt he gets another HC chance due to suing the NFL owners (and the awkward Tua bullying thing). He seems like the next Spags who could be a stud DC for a lot of years for the right team

Assumed that would be the Vikings tbh
 
I think we all need to just forget about trading down. Trade ups are mainly gonna happen for QBs, and odds are good if the QBs are good enough to trade up for, they'll be taken before 7 (potentially via trade ups with other teams). The two blue chippers who might be there at 7 that we probably wouldn't want to take (ie, non-edge non-WR) would be Love and Downs, and I just do not expect anyone to trade up for an RB or a Safety. Barring Mike Ditka coming out of retirement I think we're pretty locked in.

I do hope QBs rise so they can push down other talent to us. If we can somehow sneak into 6th, and 3 QBs go before us, suddenly, we're in a good spot for a WR or an edge.
 
If Moore comes out the top 2 seemed locked in. Reese seems a given at 2 or 3.

Then what?

Feels very open right now precombine: Maybe an O lineman, Fano and or the Miami tackle but they aren't slam dunk.

IMO -- Tate, Downs, Love and Bailey are the obvious gems, I am guessing those players don't last beyond 8. Maybe Tyson, too albiet I am not as high on him as some but I do like it.

I get the trade down thought. But 3 points on that:

A. Who are you trading down for if its to the 10-15 range? The only one who hits me is Lemon. Delane -- I haven't watched him yet but his profile I like but he doesn't come off special, supposedly pedestrian length and speed. I watched a little of Woods, and I liked what I've seen but he doesn't seem special. Maybe Sonny Styles if its a trade down. I started to watch him and I have dug what I've seen. Like Downs he doesn't play a premium position but looks like a special player -- a LB who can stop run and cover.



B. This team doesn't really major in elite players. If they see one of these guys as elite do we pass on them for good? Do we need a Jonathan Allen and Preston Smith or just a TJ Watt?

C. When was the last time this team won a trade where they traded down? like 25 years ago?
 
Bailey are the obvious gems
His size and being a one year wonder dont concern you at all? I am really concerned about Baileys ability to set the edge at the NFL level. I am much higher on Faulk than you clearly. But Faulk is a legit beast as far as size goes. He just needs coaching on his pass rushing skills. Quinn is just the guy for that imo.
 
Kenyatta Jackson is another Ohio State defender who might just work his way into the first round. Very athletic Edge rusher
 
His size and being a one year wonder dont concern you at all? I am really concerned about Baileys ability to set the edge at the NFL level. I am much higher on Faulk than you clearly. But Faulk is a legit beast as far as size goes. He just needs coaching on his pass rushing skills. Quinn is just the guy for that imo.

Actually its the opposite because he's not a one year wonder, its part of why am sold. And he's gotten better every year. 7 sacks, 5 forced fumbles the previous season with a 91 PFF grade. 10 forced fumbles in his career.

Faulk is actually closer to being a one year wonder and that year was the previous season, not his last which to me is more of a red flag.

I am not big into projects in the top 10. I'll keep an open mind when they put up more games for me to watch of Faulk. i don't care about higlights as to pass rushers becaue they almost look great if you just take their best plays.

Bailey is a game wrecker, sacks, pressures, forced fumbles. I am not looking for tweener DT-DE types. We sort of have that with Newton. Doesn't mean these guys won't be better than Newtoon but its not what i am looking for on the menu. I want guys who scare the QB and can change the game quickly.

Sources: Texas Tech lands ex-Stanford standout OLB David Bailey​


Bailey totaled 111 tackles, 22.5 tackles for loss and 14.5 sacks over his three seasons with the Cardinals...and immediately became a starter as a true freshman, earning Freshman All-America recognition after recording 8.5 tackles for loss in his debut season.

Pro Football Focus ranks Texas Tech’s David Bailey as one of the most explosive pass rushers for 2026 NFL Draft​

PFF highlights Bailey as a rising pass-rushing star with the potential to make a major impact in the 2026 NFL Draft.

PFF is especially high on edge rusher David Bailey, who came in at No. 10 on their preseason edge defender rankings.

Bailey transferred in from Stanford this offseason and was one of the most highly rated players on the market. He was ranked as a four-star transfer, the No. 12 overall player, No. 3 edge defender, and earned a 95 overall grade according to 247Sports.

That combination of ranking and production gives Texas Tech one of the most polished and dangerous pass rushers in the Big 12.

“Bailey is a throwback, no-nonsense type of defender,” PFF wrote. “The 6-foot-3, 247-pound stand-up outside linebacker pass rusher has a wicked first step and some very nice bend as one of the better speed rushers in this class. He tallied a 93.2 PFF pass-rush grade and a 27.2% pass rush win rate last season.”
 
PFF also admits what I am worried about. That is Bailey getting run off the field. He really struggles against the run. Which makes him a part time player imo. Not a top 10 draft pick.
 
7. Washington (4-10) — Keldric Faulk, Edge, Auburn, Jr.

The Commanders’ biggest problem is they can’t keep Jayden Daniels healthy. Their second biggest problem is they need more playmakers at all three levels of their defense. Faulk is a 6-foot-6, 285-pound edge who was the No. 9 player on Bruce Feldman’s 2025 “Freaks List”, reportedly squatting 700 pounds and benching 415. He’s a versatile chess piece on the D-line in odd or even fronts, and has even shown the ability to standup and play outside linebacker. Faulk doesn’t turn 21 until next September. Top needs: Edge, LB, CB
 
PFF also admits what I am worried about. That is Bailey getting run off the field. He really struggles against the run. Which makes him a part time player imo. Not a top 10 draft pick.

He has improved as a run defender this year per the tape guys. skinsinparadise has mentioned he’s see this too.

7. Washington (4-10) — Keldric Faulk, Edge, Auburn, Jr.

The Commanders’ biggest problem is they can’t keep Jayden Daniels healthy. Their second biggest problem is they need more playmakers at all three levels of their defense. Faulk is a 6-foot-6, 285-pound edge who was the No. 9 player on Bruce Feldman’s 2025 “Freaks List”, reportedly squatting 700 pounds and benching 415. He’s a versatile chess piece on the D-line in odd or even fronts, and has even shown the ability to standup and play outside linebacker. Faulk doesn’t turn 21 until next September. Top needs: Edge, LB, CB

This guy comes off to me as Shemar Stewart 2.0
 
PFF also admits what I am worried about. That is Bailey getting run off the field. He really struggles against the run. Which makes him a part time player imo. Not a top 10 draft pick.

PFF also has Bailey rated higher than Faulk. That was by the way an article BEFORE this season for Bailey, I posted it to address your one year wonder claim. PFF gave him a 78 run grade this season -- its a good grade.

Not that it matters but Bailey rated ahead of Faulk with both Yates and Kiper who often reference talking to scouts. Faulk is out of the top 10 with them.

I want a Parsons, Hendrickson, Max Crosby type of pass rusher. I'd take that over an Ok pass rusher who is great against the run -- those types are easier to find. I am not Faulk can't grow into a pass rusher but I don't want a wildcard in the top 10 -- if we are picking 25, yeah why not. But top 10?

Bailey's is on the Freak's list, too.

David Bailey, Texas Tech, outside linebacker​

One of the many big gets by the Red Raiders in the portal this offseason, Bailey had a combined 22.5 tackles for loss and 14.5 sacks in his three seasons at Stanford. He is PFF’s highest-rated returning edge player after grading out at 90.9 as a junior in 2024. Bailey bench pressed 405 pounds and squatted 550. He has rare speed for a guy at 6-3, 250, having hit 22.16 mph.
 
I glanced at Faulk and didn't quite like him, but didn't realize he'll still be 20 throughout training camp/preseason. I'll look at him again and weight his most recent games really heavily.
 
I have a hard time signing off on players in the top 10 who 1) weren't productive in college, especially in their last year, and 2) aren't physically the right size for the position. It's the big knock on Bain with his T-Rex arms, even though he's doing decently from a productivity standpoint (not amazing, but decent). Faulk's productivity is a concern. He's young so that might play into it, but you'd really have liked him to be at least a bit more productive. I could forgive a 5 sack season esp if hits and hurries were there too but they aren't that high either. His hurries are fine, but he's not finishing.
 
I have a hard time signing off on players in the top 10 who 1) weren't productive in college, especially in their last year, and 2) aren't physically the right size for the position. It's the big knock on Bain with his T-Rex arms, even though he's doing decently from a productivity standpoint (not amazing, but decent). Faulk's productivity is a concern. He's young so that might play into it, but you'd really have liked him to be at least a bit more productive. I could forgive a 5 sack season esp if hits and hurries were there too but they aren't that high either. His hurries are fine, but he's not finishing.

Bain wasn't as productive as Bailey who was in a class by himself as a pass rusher but he has 65 pressures and a 92.7 overall PFF grade. He was probably one of the best 3 or 4 edges in all of college football. The concern for him is definitely his length. That is definitely better than decent.
 
Obviously no official measurements, but it seems like Bailey's arms are supposed to be bigger, so yeah, of everyone Bailey seems to check all the boxes.

Which means he might shoot up boards and end up a top 5 pick :/
 
Doesn't matter game: Tampa-Carolina

Matters potentially a lot

Giants to beat Minny -- but if Minny wins it improves our SOS by a game
Browns to beat Buffalo
Bengals to beat Miami -- helps our draft standing and improves our SOS
Jets to beat Saints -- there is an upside for the Saints winning too but am being greedy and want to leapfrog both teams
Arizona to beat Atlanta -- albiet if Atlanta wins it makes a win by this team going forward potentially irrelevant

Matters a little
Colts beat SF -- helps SOS tie breaker versus Browns albiet that might be a lost cause so not a big deal
Pitt beats Detriot -- both helps us with SOS tie breaker versus Cincy-Browns and improves our SOS overall
NE over Ravens -- helps our SOS tiebreakers versus Jets
KC over Titans -- helps our SOS and gets in the way of the Giants getting the top pick
Houston over Raiders -- gets in the Giants way of getting the top pick

Taking the time to determine SOS possibilities is next level stuff, skinsinparadise

It is greatly appreciated!
 
Anyone interested in a board mock draft in late January? It might help some of us to understand the talent before the combine.
 
PFF also has Bailey rated higher than Faulk. That was by the way an article BEFORE this season for Bailey, I posted it to address your one year wonder claim. PFF gave him a 78 run grade this season -- its a good grade.

Not that it matters but Bailey rated ahead of Faulk with both Yates and Kiper who often reference talking to scouts. Faulk is out of the top 10 with them.

I want a Parsons, Hendrickson, Max Crosby type of pass rusher. I'd take that over an Ok pass rusher who is great against the run -- those types are easier to find. I am not Faulk can't grow into a pass rusher but I don't want a wildcard in the top 10 -- if we are picking 25, yeah why not. But top 10?

Bailey's is on the Freak's list, too.

David Bailey, Texas Tech, outside linebacker​

One of the many big gets by the Red Raiders in the portal this offseason, Bailey had a combined 22.5 tackles for loss and 14.5 sacks in his three seasons at Stanford. He is PFF’s highest-rated returning edge player after grading out at 90.9 as a junior in 2024. Bailey bench pressed 405 pounds and squatted 550. He has rare speed for a guy at 6-3, 250, having hit 22.16 mph.
What do you think of Cashius Howell?
 

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