Agree with your quote, a lot of it is conjecture. However, I have to say, there is a big pattern of favoring connections with RIvera. It's pretty well documented at this point. Even Scott Turner, who seems a bit inexperienced to me and again has not really proven a lot with past opportunities, has a connection through his Dad to Ron (Ron was on the SD staff with Norv as HC I believe). There are some rumors that Kyle does not want to give up draft picks and spend big $$, but apparently that is on Ron's radar for this year, to do one or both. I can kind of believe it; again, I think Ron has proven to value his past connections a bit too much in my opinion.
I think someone mentioned Guice as connected to Smith? Let's be clear and honest here, maybe you forgot, but Guice was a H-U-G-E McLoughan guy. I mean, ridiculously so. Kyle gets a lot of the last 2 years, and in those past 2 years the WFT has done well. Keep in mind, the Rams are reported to be interested in Kyle, and they have McVay who has some awareness of the "behind the curtain" stuff here. That is not likely to be an accident, McVay and the Rams aren't randomly pilfering here.
Anyway, when I read the observables, this is how it looks. As I've said elsewhere, it could all work out, but from what I'm seeing, this is not the best path. We were on a good path, and this is likely to have a chain reaction that could alter our approach more than you think; and judging by the pickups in late rounds the last two years, that is a mistake. That kind of success is NOT a given, and should not be overlooked. Other teams have taken notice, and among them are some pretty successful ones.