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  1. philibusters

    The 2026 Draft Thread - 1st Round - 7th overall

    I am still not in on Love. Just not enough surplus value. He would make about 9 million aav as the 7th pick, whereas the open market for a Gibbs is probably 17 million. A high end #2 receiver is worth 25 aav and a low end #1 WR is only 28 to 30. I would rather just pay the premium for...
  2. philibusters

    The 2026 Draft Thread - 1st Round - 7th overall

    I think the betting over/under was 4.50 for Sadiq. Which is fast for a 241 pound player. He is the same weight exactly as Reese and two pounds lighter than Styles. We are gushing about the 4.46 and Sadiq at essentially the same size ran .07 seconds faster. We knew Sadiq was fast, but not...
  3. philibusters

    The 2026 Draft Thread - 1st Round - 7th overall

    Mike Washington was the arguably the best running back at the senior bowl. He had good tape. He has to be in the conversation for RB 2 now and would be a decent option at 71 (albeit I may favor other positions with that pick--as others have said if you take a RB early it needs to be a...
  4. philibusters

    The 2026 Draft Thread - 1st Round - 7th overall

    Love's 40 time is awesome, but it doesn't change things that much for me because I figured he would be in the 4.38 to 4.42 range. I already baked into my opinion he was fast. I thought Kenyond Saddiq would be like 4.5 when he ended up being 4.39. I thought Mike Washington was be like 4.53...
  5. philibusters

    The 2026 Draft Thread - 1st Round - 7th overall

    I think Mike Washington Jr. 40 time is the biggest surprise of the combine for me so far. I listen to Daft on Draft and there were saying 4.53 or so for him. 4.33 I think really raises his stock. He weighed in at 223. Has good power. He is a second rounder for me now.
  6. philibusters

    The 2026 Draft Thread - Day 2

    To me once you get beyond like picks 12 or 13 you hit a tier and you'll be in that tier with you trade back to 16 or 26 so might as we trade back further into that tier. Potentially you could get more from Buffalo in that trade scenario where they trade up for Tate. Using the Jimmy Johnson...
  7. philibusters

    The 2026 Draft Thread - Day 2

    I enjoy playing around with trade backs in teh draft simulators. The simultaors usually offer better than realistic deals so I slightly modify them. I created a trade back with Buffalo to 26 for picks 60 and 91 plus nexts year second (which should be in the late 50's or early 60's. That may...
  8. philibusters

    The 2026 Draft Thread - 1st Round - 7th overall

    I watched Chris Bell (6'1", 220) against Pitt, and he’s a legitimately polished route runner. Very few false or wasted steps, and his stops on comebacks and curls are fairly crisp. His hip sink on sharper in- and out-breakers isn’t elite, but it’s solid for a bigger receiver. He’s not explosive...
  9. philibusters

    The 2026 Draft Thread - 1st Round - 7th overall

    Realistically not having the second and fourth rounders hurt, but the reality is the average result for a second rounder is an average starter and the average result for a fourth rounder is a good backup or rotational player. A top 5 LT is clearly worth more than that, so it was a good trade...
  10. philibusters

    The 2026 Draft Thread - 1st Round - 7th overall

    I am pretty happy with the way the Tunsil trade has worked out, but it would be nice to have that 2nd and 4th round pick this year. I would feel better about passing on Edge in round 1 knowing there will be decent options at 38 and positions like LB would be fillable in like the fourth round...
  11. philibusters

    The 2026 Free Agency Thread

    Biadasz is only a 2.9 million dollar cap savings. Don't quite the move, seems like a replacement will cost more than that.
  12. philibusters

    The 2026 Draft Thread - 1st Round - 7th overall

    I think I had both Reese and Styles at an estimated 4.48 so they both slightly beat that.
  13. philibusters

    The 2026 Draft Thread - 1st Round - 7th overall

    I wonder if the Titans trade for Jermaine Johnson makes it more likely they go receiver at 4 rather than edge.
  14. philibusters

    The 2026 Draft Thread - 1st Round - 7th overall

    Not a good day of measurements for Bain, Woods, Howell, and Reese. I knew Bain and Howell had short arms. Bains arm measurement is essentially the same measurement BLESTO gave, so no surprise, but I was wondering if maybe get over 31 inches. I knew Howell was going to be short--under 32...
  15. philibusters

    The 2026 Draft Thread - 1st Round - 7th overall

    Same here. I thought the feel was that he was healthy enough too. People were surprised he didn't go to the senior bowl, but for that its like he may feel like he is a little rusty and you don't want your first work to be in front of scouts intensely analyzing you. You'd rather do that in...
  16. philibusters

    The 2026 Draft Thread - 1st Round - 7th overall

    Looks like Arvell Reese measured in at 6'4 241 32.5 inches arms (I was seeing estimates of about 33.5 half so that is shorter than I was expecting), 9.5 inch hards. Nothing terrible surprising there though I did think his arms would be over 33
  17. philibusters

    The 2026 Draft Thread - Day 2

    The two 2024 games I watched for Faulk were uninspiring. He did have splash plays like a half dozen of them over the two games but they were all against the run (things like tackles for a loss or at the line of scrimmage). His pass rush just was not exciting. His pass rush is built on power...
  18. philibusters

    The 2026 Draft Thread - 1st Round - 7th overall

    So the 30.75 from training camp ended up being within 1/8th of the measurement from the combine of 30.875. And Cashius Howell had even shorter arms. This will be the draft of the short arm Edges.
  19. philibusters

    The 2026 Draft Thread - Day 2

    I have not watched him, so cannot write from personal observation, but they were in agreement on that point and they watch 4 or 5 games for each prospect (and they don't always watch the same games) from the all 22 just watching that prospect so I think there is likely something there, even if...
  20. philibusters

    The 2026 Draft Thread - Day 2

    In their evaluation, Cory and James reached a consensus on Rodriguez’s lack of physiciality. Rather than meeting ball carriers downhill, he tends to wait behind the line of scrimmage, opting to dodge offensive linemen rather than engaging them in the hole. Furthermore, when blockers climb to...
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