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  1. philibusters

    The 2026 Draft Thread - 1st Round - 7th overall

    With Mauigoa I expected the arm length and wingspan. His feet are not elite either though they are solid. But his anchor and his grip strength are both elite as is his technique. He is not as athletic as Will Campbell and his anchor is much better than Will Campbell, but its the same type...
  2. philibusters

    The 2026 Draft Thread - 1st Round - 7th overall

    He is my tenative tier 1 and tier 2 Tier 1 (1-3 in no order) Sonny Sytles Caleb Downs Jeremiah Love Tier 2: (4-16) Fernando Mendoza Arvell Reese Rueben Bain David Bailey Carnell Tate Makai Lemon Jordan Tyson Jermond McCoy Mansor Delane Spencer Fano CC Mauigoa Olaivavega Ioane Kenyon Sadiq...
  3. philibusters

    The 2026 Draft Thread - 1st Round - 7th overall

    I half agree with you. I do think you have to consider things like surplus value in the draft. Yes caps can be manipulated but only so much. Look at Buffalo and Kansas City. Once you are paying your QB and taking cap hits of 40 and 50 million from them (and that is less than the 60 million...
  4. philibusters

    The 2026 Draft Thread - Day 2

    I watched Chris Johnson, the 6'0", 193-pound corner out of San Diego State, against Cal. Overall, I thought his coverage technique and instincts were excellent, with one consistent issue: he gives up separation at the break point on in- and out-breaking routes. Aside from that, his film was...
  5. philibusters

    The 2026 Draft Thread - 1st Round - 7th overall

    Its hard to quantify, but I don't agree. Barkley has been in the NFL for 8 years and been on one good offense anc a couple other average ones. Part of the problem with RB is it is dependent on other positions and the overall infrastructure. There are different types of running backs, but...
  6. philibusters

    The 2026 Draft Thread - Day 3

    His best asset is his vision so he could be a good value in the 6th or 7th. In say the third round I thought he lacked the power profile to break tackles and wasn't a dynamic enough athlete to create explosive plays through athleticism. But he almost always made the right read, he...
  7. philibusters

    The 2026 Draft Thread - 1st Round - 7th overall

    I don't know if I would go that far.
  8. philibusters

    The 2026 Draft Thread - 1st Round - 7th overall

    I feel differently and similar to probably how you feel about David Bailey. I think Love is a good enough player. In terms of pure prospect, I have him Styles, and Downs in a top tier. But I don't think he would be a good pick. I know you like Bailey as a pass rusher but think he would be a...
  9. philibusters

    The 2026 Draft Thread - 1st Round - 7th overall

    It doesn't change anything. I had him at about 4.5 flat. Obviously there were guys I underestimated like Sadiq and Washington and it slightly changed my perception of them. But Tate ran .03 slower than I was expecting. He is a good route runner with good hip sink. He is great on vertical...
  10. philibusters

    The 2026 Draft Thread - 1st Round - 7th overall

    Plenty of GM's think the same and trade up cause they are sure in their evaluations. You just have to be sure you are right. I would rather play the odds than my gut. If you pass up on Saquan Barkley for Montez Sweat its a very mild loss. If you pass up on Josh Allen (the edge from...
  11. philibusters

    The 2026 Draft Thread - 1st Round - 7th overall

    Carnell Tate 4.53--mildly disappointing because the times have been fast this year, but not terrible. Brennan Thompson 4.26, Zavion Thomas 4.28, Byrce Lance 4.34, and De'Zhaun Stribling 4.36. To me Stribling is the biggest winner of that much as I knew the others were fast and their fast 40...
  12. philibusters

    The 2026 Draft Thread - Day 2

    He cleared that 4.5 threshold too with that 4.48. I thought the odds of making it to 71 before were maybe like 1/3. After this weekend, maybe more like 1/10. Not unthinkable, but certainly you are not planning on having him available there.
  13. philibusters

    The 2026 Draft Thread - 1st Round - 7th overall

    But you are making two huge assumptions. That we can know that love will be an all pro RB, in the tier of CMC, Barkley, Robinson, and Henry. Two you are assuming the Edge we draft is just mediocre. Sure Bijan Robinson is more valuable than Dorrence Armstrong (who I really like), but...
  14. philibusters

    The 2026 Draft Thread - 1st Round - 7th overall

    I think the board is swooning over Love like a 13 year old girl after boy band crush. I think the board is being a little irrational about RB value — especially in the context of the Commanders at 7. Jeremiah Love’s rookie deal would be roughly $9M AAV over four years. A top 5 RB right now...
  15. philibusters

    The 2026 Draft Thread - 1st Round - 7th overall

    I think the board has gone bit off track. I would love for the Giants to use a top 5 pick on Love. The last time they used a top 5 pick on the RB, they hit big in Saquan Barkley and went nowhere. Do they have the QB, O-Line, and OC to maxmize a premium running back. No.
  16. philibusters

    The 2026 Draft Thread - 1st Round - 7th overall

    In terms of receivers, Jeff Caldwells testing was off the charts (4.31 at 216 pounds), but his issue is that he is considered unmotivated. That said some team may overlook the motivation issues. Zachariah Branch measured in shorter than expected at 5'8.5 but maybe a hair faster than I was...
  17. philibusters

    The 2026 Draft Thread - 1st Round - 7th overall

    I do think there is a difference. If you think you are getting a Gibbs or McCaffrey but get a Travis Etienne it was a bad use of a top 10 pick. By contrast if you think you are getting a Terry McLaurin but instead get a Courtland Sutton you got still value in line closer to the pick value.
  18. philibusters

    The 2026 Draft Thread - Day 3

    I ended up being pretty close on my estimate for Emmett Johnson. Guessed mid 4.5's as he looked fast, but not overly fast. He ended running a 4.56. Still love Johnson's vision, but I do think that 5th round project may actually be in the ball park as I think he'll be more like RB 8 or 9...
  19. philibusters

    The 2026 Draft Thread - 1st Round - 7th overall

    I have watched any film from Mike Washington. He got some call outs on the recruiting shows during the season and he was lauded as arguably the best running back at the senior bowl, but the impression I had of him was a north south runner with good physicality, decent pass catchesr out of...
  20. philibusters

    The 2026 Draft Thread - 1st Round - 7th overall

    Even if you thought he was going to run a 4.46, the fact that he ran a 4.33 is a pretty big difference. I don't think I realized how fast Washington was (like I said I was expecting a 4.53 and that may be I was under informed), but I think that 4.33 was shocking.
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