They've really worked on both Keim and Standig. Standig has vacillated—he started out concerned, then shifted to "it's going to be fine," only to circle back and express concern again on a show last week, I think with Sheehan. Keim has been more consistent. His position has evolved from "the offense can be good because of Jayden and can replicate 2024 if Terry stays healthy" to "the offense can be very good"—not because of the receivers, but because of Jayden. Yet he has consistently added the same caveat: if Terry misses significant time, it's a major problem.
This whole WR discussion reminds me of the offensive line debate in 2023. Fans were worried. National media were worried. Even some local media started out worried. But as training camp progressed, several of them—especially Bram and Logan—came around, and the narrative became that fans were overreacting and needed to relax.
I later heard Bram say the coaches had convinced him the offensive line was going to be fine. I get the sense the same thing is happening now with the receiver room. Keim has said multiple times that the coaches are much higher on this group than the fans are and don't share the same concerns. Hearing that immediately takes me back to the 2023 offensive line. Hopefully this time the coaches are right. They certainly weren't then.
And look, anything is possible—and I don't mean that sarcastically. Everything could absolutely break right. If Terry stays healthy, I can see this offense approaching its 2024 level. Chig essentially replaces Ertz. Terry remains Terry. Rachaad White fills the Ekeler role. Antonio Williams develops into the Zaccheus-type contributor. Van Jefferson gives you what Noah Brown did. It's a plausible path. But that's also a lot of "ifs." In 2024, virtually everything broke their way. They had the easiest schedule in the NFL, won an absurd number of close games, and were one of the healthiest teams in football.
My prediction? 10-7 and a Wild Card berth. The defense will be significantly better. The offense won't quite reach 2024 because I don't expect lightning to strike twice, but it'll still be good because Jayden is that special—and maybe even great if they continue to lean on his legs. That was the secret sauce in 2024. When nothing was open, Jayden simply made a play with his legs. If they continue to use him that way, and Terry stays healthy, they can absolutely approach that year's production.
I think this team gets bounced if it runs into a team like the Rams or Seattle in the playoffs. My frustration has never been about whether this offense can be good. It's about its margin for error. Right now, it's heavily dependent on Terry staying healthy and Jayden carrying the offense with his arm and his legs. If they had landed another legitimate weapon at receiver—someone defenses actually had to account for—they wouldn't need everything to break perfectly. They'd have an offense capable of going toe-to-toe with teams like the Rams or Seattle instead of needing another season where nearly every break goes their way.
Dismissing the impact of a Terry injury by saying, "Well, every team would struggle without its No. 1 receiver," misses the point. It's not just about losing your best receiver—it's about how little proven depth exists behind him. Teams with a legitimate No. 2 can survive that kind of loss much better. Washington, as currently constructed, would be asking unproven players or reclamation projects to suddenly fill that void. That's why a Terry injury isn't just another injury—it's potentially season-altering. And not that it matters but I don't think you will get the beat guys agreeing with you on that, Keim has talked about how this team is more vulnerable to a loss of the #1 WR. It's as obvious as the sky is blue.
Teams are generally reluctant to give top-of-the-market, long-term deals to 30-year-old receivers because that's when production often starts to decline and injuries become more common. Ironically, that was part of the narrative as to the contract impasse last summer and we saw exactly that happen with Terry last season. If the team genuinely believed age was irrelevant for wide receivers, last summer's contract negotiations wouldn't have dragged on the way they did. Their own actions suggested they recognized the risks that come with paying a receiver entering his 30s.
Keim has not, in my opinion, been consistent. In fact, he dedicated an entire podcast to his inconsistency. He had been much more on the side of the concern, then devoted the entire podcast on June 14th to the fact they could have a good or very good offense with what they have. He consistently said in that podcast he wouldn't be opposed if they added somebody, and thought they might. However THAT was always the counter to "they're going to be fine if they don't. Here's why." It was like he felt he had to add the caveat every time he was openly admitting he was changing his story. And FWIW, it's fine to change your mind or your story. New information comes to light. But I think it's also fine to acknowledge that he has really reversed position on this over the past few months. NOTE: He has not reversed his concern on CB. Which I share.
Standig hasn't been consistent either. I don't listen to Sheehan anymore, every time I try, he makes my ears bleed. The last couple times I listened to him, he was channeling his inner Chris Russell. How far he has fallen from when he was must listen to know just being a carnival barker is insane. I blame Lovero. When he started doing time with Squeaky, he changed. And he's parked on the lesser channel with a smaller audience in the Audacy family. ** If you want to debate Sheenah, pick it up in the Covering Commanders thread. I'm just saying I don't listen to him and have no idea what he's saying.
I absolutely do not think either one of them has been consistent. Whether the team got to them, or they changed their mind on their own, I do not know and can't begin to guess. But both started critical to skeptical, and now both have completely gone the other way. You mentioned Standig might be pendulum swinging again, I am 2-3 Standig podcasts behind, so I haven't heard that yet. I am going to try and catch up over the next couple of days. Now that House of the Dragon (HOTD) has returned, some of my podcast listening time is devoted to House of R, the official HOTD podcast, and Bald Move. I have more than one interest, and that's one of them.
As Kevin Bacon said in "A Few Good Men:" These are the facts, and they are undisputed. You can try and argue Keim or Standig didn't switch positions, and I could spend the time to pull quote after quote to show you they did. I'm just going to say up front, I'm not going to spend the time doing that. But they both reversed positions.
I do think it's interesting both of them did it at essentially the same time. So maybe the team did get to them. Because it is definitely interesting.
As far as the logic goes there isn't anything proven behind Terry, I mean, I don't disagree. But that's basically true for every team. Let's look at the playoff teams (again.)
| Round | Team | Player | Receiving Yards | TDs |
| Super Bowl Champion | Seattle Seahawks | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | 1793 | 10 |
| Super Bowl Champion | Seattle Seahawks | Cooper Kupp | 593 | 2 |
| Super Bowl Champion | Seattle Seahawks | Rashid Shaheed | 188 | 0 |
| Super Bowl Runner-up | New England Patriots | Stefon Diggs | 1013 | 4 |
| Super Bowl Runner-up | New England Patriots | Kayshon Boutte | 551 | 6 |
| Super Bowl Runner-up | New England Patriots | Mack Hollins | 550 | 2 |
| AFC Championship | Denver Broncos | Courtland Sutton | 1017 | 7 |
| AFC Championship | Denver Broncos | Troy Franklin | 709 | 6 |
| AFC Championship | Denver Broncos | Marvin Mims Jr. | 322 | 1 |
| NFC Championship | Los Angeles Rams | Puka Nacua | 1715 | 10 |
| NFC Championship | Los Angeles Rams | Davante Adams | 789 | 14 |
| NFC Championship | Los Angeles Rams | Xavier Smith | 303 | 0 |
| Divisional Round | Houston Texans | Nico Collins | 1117 | 6 |
| Divisional Round | Houston Texans | Jayden Higgins | 525 | 6 |
| Divisional Round | Houston Texans | Xavier Hutchinson | 428 | 3 |
| Divisional Round | Buffalo Bills | Khalil Shakir | 719 | 4 |
| Divisional Round | Buffalo Bills | Keon Coleman | 404 | 4 |
| Divisional Round | Buffalo Bills | Joshua Palmer | 303 | 0 |
| Divisional Round | Chicago Bears | D.J. Moore | 682 | 6 |
| Divisional Round | Chicago Bears | Rome Odunze | 661 | 6 |
| Divisional Round | Chicago Bears | Luther Burden III | 652 | 2 |
| Divisional Round | San Francisco 49ers | Jauan Jennings | 643 | 9 |
| Divisional Round | San Francisco 49ers | Kendrick Bourne | 551 | 0 |
| Divisional Round | San Francisco 49ers | Ricky Pearsall | 528 | 0 |
| Wild Card Round | Jacksonville Jaguars | Parker Washington | 847 | 5 |
| Wild Card Round | Jacksonville Jaguars | Brian Thomas Jr. | 707 | 2 |
| Wild Card Round | Jacksonville Jaguars | Jakobi Meyers | 483 | 3 |
| Wild Card Round | Pittsburgh Steelers | DK Metcalf | 850 | 6 |
| Wild Card Round | Pittsburgh Steelers | Calvin Austin III | 372 | 3 |
| Wild Card Round | Pittsburgh Steelers | Roman Wilson | 166 | 2 |
| Wild Card Round | Los Angeles Chargers | Ladd McConkey | 789 | 6 |
| Wild Card Round | Los Angeles Chargers | Keenan Allen | 777 | 4 |
| Wild Card Round | Los Angeles Chargers | Quentin Johnston | 735 | 8 |
| Wild Card Round | Philadelphia Eagles | DeVonta Smith | 1008 | 4 |
| Wild Card Round | Philadelphia Eagles | A.J. Brown | 1003 | 7 |
| Wild Card Round | Philadelphia Eagles | Jahan Dotson | 262 | 1 |
| Wild Card Round | Carolina Panthers | Tetairoa McMillan | 1014 | 7 |
| Wild Card Round | Carolina Panthers | Jalen Coker | 394 | 3 |
| Wild Card Round | Carolina Panthers | Xavier Legette | 363 | 3 |
| Wild Card Round | Green Bay Packers | Romeo Doubs | 724 | 6 |
| Wild Card Round | Green Bay Packers | Christian Watson | 611 | 6 |
| Wild Card Round | Green Bay Packers | Matthew Golden | 361 | 0 |
The only team in the playoffs that had 2 1000 yards receivers, and probably would have been fine if there was a serious injury to the #1 was the Eagles.
There was a 1200 yard gap between Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Kupp in Seattle. If Jaxon Smith-Njigba gets hurt, they're done.
There was a 500 yard gap between Stefon Diggs and Boutte in New England. If Diggs goes down, they're cooked.
THere was a 1000 yard gap between Puka Nacua and Davante Adams. If Nacua goes down, they're finished.
There was a 600 yard gap between Nico Collins and Jayden Higgins. The Texans would have really struggled to make up the difference.
And the biggest difference was the Panthers. There was a 700 yard difference between Tetairoa McMillan and Jalen Coker.
There were some teams which didn't have a true #1 and there was more parity. But really, if you lose your stud #1 WR, there isn't a lot behind them in most NFL teams today. That's somewhat changed over the years, where teams would consistently hoard WRs, and every team tried to have 2 legitimate outside WRs. However, the way the game has changed, that just isn't the case anymore. There is much more emphasis on having RBs contribute from the backfield in the passing game, and attacking the middle with TEs.
Which means most teams only have one true starting outside WR. And it's a huge risk if the #1 guy goes down.