The 2026 Draft Thread - 1st Round - 7th overall

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3. Jeremiyah Love, RB, Notre Dame*​

Height: 6-0 | Weight: 214 | Prev. rank: 3

2025 stats over 12 games: 199 carries, 1,372 rushing yards, 18 rushing TDs, 27 catches, 280 receiving yards, 3 receiving TDs

Love reminds me a lot of Reggie Bush. The 20-year-old has vision and burst between the tackles and to the outside, and he can break tackles with ease (60 forced missed tackles on the season). Once he gets into space, he can take it to the house with his breakaway speed too. But Love isn't only an outstanding runner. He also is a high-impact pass catcher. An NFL team will be able to flank him out wide and create a whole other dimension of the offense.


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4. Arvell Reese, LB, Ohio State*​

Height: 6-4 | Weight: 243 | Prev. rank: 4

2025 stats over 14 games: 69 tackles, 9 tackles for loss, 6.5 sacks, 9 run stops, 2 pass breakups

This is a complete football player. Reese jumps off the Ohio State tape, playing the game like a veteran. I see natural instincts at the linebacker position that allow him to make plays most guys just can't make, and he has the burst to get home when turned loose as a pass rusher. Reese has been a big riser in this class.


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5. Francis Mauigoa, OT, Miami*​

Height: 6-6 | Weight: 315 | Prev. rank: 5

2025 stats over 15 games: 15 starts, 1 sack allowed

Here's a true mauler. Mauigoa is fun to watch for the way he just destroys pass rushers at the point of attack. He has more than 2,600 snaps at right tackle and has the pass protection skill to stick there, but he could absolutely slide inside and become a Pro Bowl-caliber guard at the next level. Mauigoa has allowed one sack and blown only 11 run blocks since the start of last season.


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6. David Bailey, OLB, Texas Tech​

Height: 6-3 | Weight: 250 | Prev. rank: 6

2025 stats over 14 games: 76 tackles, 23 tackles for loss, 14.5 sacks, 71 pressures, 8 run stops, 3 forced fumbles, 4 pass breakups

A transfer from Stanford, Bailey gets after the quarterback. He had 14.5 sacks over three seasons for the Cardinal, and he matched that total in 2025 alone after notably becoming more of a finisher this season. His 20.2% pressure rate was the best in the nation -- despite actually being lower than it was in 2024 (22.2%) and 2023 (22.1%).





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7. Caleb Downs, S, Ohio State*​

Height: 6-0 | Weight: 205 | Prev. rank: 7

2025 stats over 14 games: 67 tackles, 5 tackles for loss, 2 INTs, 1 sack, 6 run stops

Downs -- the brother of NFL wide receiver Josh Downs and the son of former NFL running back Gary Downs -- is basically an extension of the defensive coordinator. His football knowledge shows in his play; it's obvious when you watched him in the Ohio State defense. But what really impressed me is how well he picked up Nick Saban's system as a 2023 freshman at Alabama before transferring.

He diagnoses quickly thanks to excellent pre-snap instincts, and that allows him to play faster than his straight-line speed might suggest. Plus, Downs is solid in coverage, and he is a very reliable open-field tackler.


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8. Sonny Styles, LB, Ohio State​

Height: 6-4 | Weight: 243 | Prev. rank: 8

2025 stats over 14 games: 77 tackles, 7 tackles for loss, 9 run stops, 3 pass breakups, 1 INT, 1 forced fumble, 1 sack

You can tell Styles is a former safety; he has outstanding speed, and his burst allows him to spy the QB. Watch for him to dominate at the combine and in predraft testing. Styles is also a dependable tackler and closes in a flash. He really took the next step this season, even as he adapted to a new system under defensive coordinator Matt Patricia.


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9. Carnell Tate, WR, Ohio State*​

Height: 6-3 | Weight: 195 | Prev. rank: 9

2025 stats over 11 games: 51 catches, 875 receiving yards, 9 receiving TDs

Ohio State has turned into Wide Receiver U, with Emeka Egbuka being the most recent star wideout to come out of Columbus. And while most of the college football world focused on Jeremiah Smith (who isn't eligible for the 2026 draft), Tate put up some serious numbers and showed why he is a top prospect for this class. Tate produced big plays on a regular basis, averaging 17.2 yards per catch this season. He is a precise route runner, has great hands and displays outstanding body control. And he'll also happily block for ball carriers, which NFL coaches love to see. Tate had a lower-body injury earlier this season and missed a little time.


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10. Kenyon Sadiq, TE, Oregon*​

Height: 6-3 | Weight: 245 | Prev. rank: 10

2025 stats over 14 games: 51 catches, 560 receiving yards, 8 receiving TDs

Sadiq is loaded with physical traits. He has the explosion to hurdle defenders in the open field. He has the vision and speed to cause conflict after the catch, with almost half his 2025 yardage coming after the ball is in his hands. And he's nearly impossible to match against because of his quickness and size. Sadiq was consistent this season, and he should be the first tight end off the board.


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11. Jordyn Tyson, WR, Arizona State*​

Height: 6-2 | Weight: 200 | Prev. rank: 11

2025 stats over nine games: 61 catches, 711 receiving yards, 8 receiving TDs

The Colorado transfer lit up defenses for two seasons with the Sun Devils. Tyson's superpower is being open even when it looks like he's completely blanketed. It makes him essentially uncoverable in the red zone. He wins on 50-50 balls and outmuscles defensive backs. A hamstring injury cost him time this season, but he still posted solid numbers.

play
0:25
End Zone! Jordyn Tyson scores 4-yard rushing touchdown
End Zone! Jordyn Tyson scores 4-yard rushing touchdown

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12. Makai Lemon, WR, USC*​

Height: 5-11 | Weight: 195 | Prev. rank: 12

2025 stats over 12 games: 79 catches, 1,156 receiving yards, 11 receiving TDs

This kid is a warrior who plays with passion. I'd want Lemon on my roster. He snatches the ball away from his body in an attacking manner then runs with a fierce approach after the catch. He is one of my favorite players in the class, and he ranked in the top 10 in the nation in receiving yards.
 
I'm good at chosen at #7 for Bailey 1st, then Downs. We desperately need an EDGE and Bailey is the best of the bunch.
 
Some poor team is going to be completely underwhelmed by Ty Simpson.
I don’t know. I think he has some talent. If he goes back to college I think he can really up his stock. The problem is… I’m not sure how much higher his stock can get given this year’s class.

I view Dante Moore similarly. Both need seasoning. But the allure of the NFL is stalking them and it will very likely ruin both of them.
 
In terms of players I think are worthy of a the #7 overall pick (that factors in the strength of this draft class, our positional needs, and positional value):

I have got in no order:

1. Jeremiah Love
2. Jordan Tyson
3. Carnell Tate
4. Makai Lemon
5. David Bailey
6. Reuben Bain
7. Arvell Reese
8. Sonny Styles
9. Jermod McCoy
10. Caleb Downs

There are a few other players worthy of the pick who don't fit a positional need, the QB's, Mauigoa, Fano, Woods, and maybe one or two others. I like Cashius Howell and Kendrick Faulk to a lesser extent, but I would really only be satisfied picking them with a trade down to say 13. I'd rather not pick them at 7.

I have tried to rank them, but its hard because I feel differently one day to the next. I am excited about David Bailey so he is probably my top choice. Maybe Tate, Reese, or Downs rights behind him. But I like Jeremiah Love so if we took him, I'd be okay with it. I think Bain's ceiling may be slightly limited by his shorter arms, but I think he could still be a plus player (like a Montez Sweat, Daron Payne type career and I wouldn't hate the pick).
 
I wonder if the plan was to trade for Tunsil to see if we can contend for SB (lol) and let young OTs learn from his play and if the plan went south, then flip him to someone with need for higher pick(s) if he plays well or it just turned out that way. 🤔
 
In terms of players I think are worthy of a the #7 overall pick (that factors in the strength of this draft class, our positional needs, and positional value):

I have got in no order:

1. Jeremiah Love
2. Jordan Tyson
3. Carnell Tate
4. Makai Lemon
5. David Bailey
6. Reuben Bain
7. Arvell Reese
8. Sonny Styles
9. Jermod McCoy
10. Caleb Downs

There are a few other players worthy of the pick who don't fit a positional need, the QB's, Mauigoa, Fano, Woods, and maybe one or two others. I like Cashius Howell and Kendrick Faulk to a lesser extent, but I would really only be satisfied picking them with a trade down to say 13. I'd rather not pick them at 7.

I have tried to rank them, but its hard because I feel differently one day to the next. I am excited about David Bailey so he is probably my top choice. Maybe Tate, Reese, or Downs rights behind him. But I like Jeremiah Love so if we took him, I'd be okay with it. I think Bain's ceiling may be slightly limited by his shorter arms, but I think he could still be a plus player (like a Montez Sweat, Daron Payne type career and I wouldn't hate the pick).

You should add Mansoor Delane to that list. He is CB1, not McCoy
 
You should add Mansoor Delane to that list. He is CB1, not McCoy

I will post my full notes on the Daft on Draft December 4, 2025 after I finish taking notes on the whole episode, but here are my notes on Delane from that episode...

Mansoor Delane: Measured at 5’11, 191 with 30-inch arms, Delane is one of those players where the tape clearly outperforms the measurables. James emphasized how smooth he is — controlled, balanced, and very sticky in man coverage. He changes direction effortlessly, stays connected through breaks, and generally plays calm football. The limitations are obvious: he’s not big, he’s not fast-fast (around a 4.5 type), and you do see speed concerns show up occasionally, including against Texas A&M's KC Conception. Both Cory and James agree he’s very well rounded in terms of instincts in both man and zone, and both describe him as a fluid athlete who flips hips and redirects cleanly. Ball skills are fine but not a strength — there are moments where the ball is in the air and he’s a tick late getting his eyes where they need to be. In run support he’s willing but not naturally physical; not a great block shedder, but he won’t avoid contact, he'll try. James sees him as an above-average NFL starter and floated late first to early second, which tells you how much they trust the tape over the testing profile.
 
I wonder if the plan was to trade for Tunsil to see if we can contend for SB (lol) and let young OTs learn from his play and if the plan went south, then flip him to someone with need for higher pick(s) if he plays well or it just turned out that way. 🤔

I highly doubt that was the plan. Given that he is now on the last year of his deal - his trade value is probably depressed as compared to what we paid cuz he immediately needs a top of the market deal.

If someone gets all liquored up and offers more than we paid, Peters will listen, but I doubt he's actively out shopping him.
 
As predicted… Moore back to Oregon. And they just got Raiola, too.
 
I would too if I was going to be drafted by the Jets. That hurts, we needed him to drive others down.
 
I highly doubt that was the plan. Given that he is now on the last year of his deal - his trade value is probably depressed as compared to what we paid cuz he immediately needs a top of the market deal.

If someone gets all liquored up and offers more than we paid, Peters will listen, but I doubt he's actively out shopping him.
If we are serious about keeping him, we need to lock him up asap and we have the money too! I was just thinking out loud but it makes sense to get a long term solution to protecting your young QB.
 
I had moved into sort of a quiet acceptance of the situation and mathed out scenarios that I was mostly okay with, but with Moore going back we basically dropped another spot. We now are no longer guaranteed even a top 5 non-QB from this (fairly bad) class.
 
I had moved into sort of a quiet acceptance of the situation and mathed out scenarios that I was mostly okay with, but with Moore going back we basically dropped another spot. We now are no longer guaranteed even a top 5 non-QB from this (fairly bad) class.
I was never okay with it. I understand the team wasn’t going to actually attempt to lose - of course they wouldn’t try to lose…

But that didn’t move the needle for me at all. Incredibly frustrating.

This is going to be a problem for us.

The Jets could do a very Jets thing and take Ty Simpson, which would be fantastic. But…

Analytics are really strongly pointing towards quarterback success rate depending on >25 collegiate starts

It’s not an exact science and there are exceptions to the rule (generally guys who are literal freaks like Josh Allen, Mahomes, Cam Newton). But most of the busts are guys with low career collegiate starts.

Further… going to the Jets is essentially career suicide.

I hope they Jet this up.
 
I think Bailey is gone by the time we pick, and will have little to choose from. Although Brugler is saying Sadiq could be a top 10 pick. I'm warming to that idea
 

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