I have to go with Griffin. And I say that despite my belief that he's ultimately a riskier proposition on a couple of fronts. Although I think many overstate his penchant for taking off and running (what I've observed is that he's always looking to pass, even when he decides to take off with it), it does put him at greater risk for a short-lived career. He's also got a more abbreviated resume on which to base our judgement. We've been hearing about Andrew Luck for years, but RGIII, like Cam Newton before him, was barely in the conversation in terms of future franchise QB glory until his final year.
That doesn't mean his Heisman-winning year was a aberration or fluke - but if you want years and years of evidence the QB we take is going to unquestionably succeed - Luck's your guy, not RGIII.
And, if we really want to go there, those who argue that NFL history shows two things - that athletic African-American QBs rarely succeed long-term in the NFL, and that drafting a Heisman winner under center is usually a failed strategy, it's hard to argue against those two assertions convincingly.
But I think Griffin is different. Why do I go with him over supposedly all-world Luck? He's smart, he's got character, he's the superior athlete, and he's got that spark, the 'IT factor' I've talked a lot about over the years, that can not only make him a great QB, but a franchise-making QB.
Griffin is exactly what the Washington Redskins organization needs, not just on the football field, but in the locker room, in the media room, and in the community. If he turns out to be the on-the-field star we think he is, he'll be the face of the franchise for the next 10 years and beyond.
It's Griffin, all the way, and I'm not even looking back.