I didn't have much trouble sleeping last night. The loss was disappointing but not devastating. I'll explain why.
I never posted in the "Predict the Score" thread because, as has been mentioned, I'm a "by the numbers" guy. I ran through several metrics and statistical analyses to get a handle on the game and they all came up with the similar results.
Toss-up.
Statistically this game was virtually impossible to predict in terms of one team having a distinct advantage over the other sufficient to warrant a justifiable point spread of more than 1.5. This game was going to be determined, as it was, by fewest mistakes on the field.
We made more of them. We lost.
That's why I, while disappointed, am not all that surprised-I had no way to justify an expectation in either direction. I thought we could pull it off but that decision was made based on what I perceived as advantages in immeasureables and thus subject to a lot of unceretainty.