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    Default Re: Burner’s Burning Questions: Free Agency, Mocks, Camps, OTAs, Roster Predictions,

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    “All right, they’re on our left, they’re on our right, they’re in front of us, they’re behind us. They can’t get away this time.” - Chesty Puller

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    Default Re: Burner’s Burning Questions: Free Agency, Mocks, Camps, OTAs, Roster Predictions,

    Burner’s Burning Questions: Free Agency, Mocks, Camps, OTAs, Roster Predictions, 2019


    Greetings from BBQ to everyone here at BGO. We hope you are having a good weekend. Hello to everyone on social media. We’d love to have you as a member here and become part of the family.

    OTAs, mini-camp, rookie camp, and the draft have passed into the history books. Training camp will be here in four weeks. We’ll continue to cover it all and give everyone at BGO the best coverage possible.

    BBQ continues our off-season evaluations and today we will take a look at the running backs. Feel free to scroll back in this off-season blog and see what we have said about free agency, the draft, and take a look at what your fellow Redskins think of the team transactions over the last several months. BBQ will continue to take a look at each position and provide analysis over the next few weeks. Feel free to offer your own analysis as we go along.

    - Days until Training Camp: 33
    - Days until the first preseason game: 47
    - Days until the Regular Season Opener (Eagles): 78
    - Days until the Cowboys game: 85
    - Days until the Giants game: 106

    Let’s get right to it!


    Running backs:


    Derrius Guice
    Derrius Guice is one year removed from a torn ACL and while he is likely to start, carrying a full load is probably not a good idea. Fortunately, the Redskins have a full stable of running backs and Guice will share that load with others. This plan should allow him to work back into game shape at a good pace. He won’t set any records under such a designed format, but it will save wear and tear on his body. Another aspect of sharing the duties with other backs is that it adds years to a career and he can be effective over a longer period of time. BBQ forecasts 750 yards rushing, twenty-two receptions, and five touchdowns.

    Adrian Peterson
    For anyone who thought Adrian Peterson was done prior to the 2018 season, shame on you (and you too, BBQ). He continues to defy the odds and prove the naysayers wrong. Now he will have the luxury of sharing the backfield with Guice and should keep a set of fresh legs throughout the season. Durability becomes less of a concern with a reduced role, but it can’t be totally overlooked. BBQ forecasts 425 yards rushing, five pass receptions, and three touchdowns.

    Chris Thompson
    Chris Thompson is still the third down back, but he needs to remain healthy. His fragility has been an issue during most of his tenure as a Redskin, but now he could have another situation - some serious competition in 2019. Thompson is one of the better third down backs in the league and is able to gain major chunks of yardage on passing downs. He could face some competition from younger players, but don’t count him out just yet. BBQ forecasts 130 yards rushing, 25 receptions, and three touchdowns.

    Others
    Samaje Perine continues to hang on, but his time in a Redskins uniform could be shorter than some may think. He could be cut before the season or traded for current or future assets. Perine could also hang around as insurance if Guice or Peterson is injured. Byron Marshall faces the same fate as Perine – probably much more so. Other running backs on the current roster are no more than camp bodies at this juncture.

    Bryce Love
    Bryce Love could start the season on the PUP list, but keep an eye on him this season. He could actually be a starter by late fall. Yes, a starter. He’s that good, but may need some additional time to heal from a late season injury in 2018. Love could also crack the lineup as a third down back as the season progresses and push Chris Thompson for playing time. Again, keep an eye on Bryce Love.

    There is our latest look at roster position evaluations this off-season. We will feature another position early in the coming week.
    Last edited by Burgundy Burner; 07-06-19 at 08:59 AM.
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  3. #1403
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    Default Re: Burner’s Burning Questions: Free Agency, Mocks, Camps, OTAs, Roster Predictions,

    Another aspect of sharing the duties with other backs is that it adds years to a career and he can be effective over a longer period of time.
    BB, this is true, but the manner in which time is shared could be the problem...how the RB's are used. Prior to last year, Gruden didn't stick with any one QB for entire drives, even the 1st drive of the game...mixing it up to the peril of getting some momentum going. Last year we depended on Peterson entirely too much.

    I know I am repeating myself, but if Gruden wants to see how a successful run game is performed, he need look no further that what McDaniels and Belichek did in New England.

    It's no longer 2-4 carries in the drive for one RB and 2-4 carries for the other in the same drive. The only reason to sit a RB during an entire drive is injury of true need for a breather. Give Guice the entire 1st Q if needed, or AP the entire first Q with maybe one or 2 breathers, then bring Peterson in the 2nd Q and sit Guice for a drive or 2.

    This way either can gain momentum, and get the rest when needed. More importantly, give us a fresh pair of legs when the other is called in. Gibbs did similar with Byner and Riggs with great success...using Byner most of the 1st half, bringing Riggs in around mid 2nd Q, and the same in the 2nd half.
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  4. #1404

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    Default Re: Burner’s Burning Questions: Free Agency, Mocks, Camps, OTAs, Roster Predictions,

    Great summary as always BB

    A couple of my unsolicited thoughts...

    This is not the year to move on from Perine. I know he's not a fan favorite and hasn't done anything to become one. But with an older player in Peterson, and essentially a rookie coming off an ACL, you have to have insurance and Perine will be that. I don't know how sincere the praise coming from Gruden is, but he has really been talking up Perine so it's possible he was just a slow starter and we have more there than we currently believe.

    On how much and how soon Guice and Love play - who knows? I think they will exercise caution with both. Guice tore his ACL on August 9th in the pre-season game against the Patriots. That would theoretically give him more of a chance to be a factor this season than Love who suffered his injury in the last Stanford game of the year (before their Sun Bowl game). But Guice did have post-op complications which probably extended his healing time. So who knows?

    Bottom line - we may have the most talented rookie backfield in the league (I'm counting Guice as a rookie since he's yet to play a regular season snap!) if they both fully recover from their injuries. But I think we'll need to keep Perine on the roster somehow due to the rookie's status - and to facilitate that I do think they'll PUP list Bryce Love.

    This season is a big one for Chris Thompson. Thompson had a solid 2016 season with 700+ all purpose yds with nearly an 80% reception rate. He was on his way to having a monster year in 2017 (already had 800+ yds) when he got hurt in week 10. But he did not look like quite the same guy in 2018 and I believe he becomes an unrestricted free agent in 2020.
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  5. #1405

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    Default Re: Burner’s Burning Questions: Free Agency, Mocks, Camps, OTAs, Roster Predictions,

    Quote Originally Posted by Elephant View Post
    BB, this is true, but the manner in which time is shared could be the problem...how the RB's are used. Prior to last year, Gruden didn't stick with any one QB for entire drives, even the 1st drive of the game...mixing it up to the peril of getting some momentum going. Last year we depended on Peterson entirely too much.

    I know I am repeating myself, but if Gruden wants to see how a successful run game is performed, he need look no further that what McDaniels and Belichek did in New England.

    It's no longer 2-4 carries in the drive for one RB and 2-4 carries for the other in the same drive. The only reason to sit a RB during an entire drive is injury of true need for a breather. Give Guice the entire 1st Q if needed, or AP the entire first Q with maybe one or 2 breathers, then bring Peterson in the 2nd Q and sit Guice for a drive or 2.

    This way either can gain momentum, and get the rest when needed. More importantly, give us a fresh pair of legs when the other is called in. Gibbs did similar with Byner and Riggs with great success...using Byner most of the 1st half, bringing Riggs in around mid 2nd Q, and the same in the 2nd half.
    I would love to see someone do some real research on this. I'm not sure it's valid to look at what one of the best teams in league history does with their RBs and extrapolate that out to represent some universal ideal approach. The success of their running game may be linked just as strongly to things like having the best QB in history under center, the best head coach, etc... I also think if you look hard you might find that the Patriots haven't always had the best rushing attack (even within their own division).

    I do think there is some validity to the idea that *most* RBs need a certain volume of carries to really get going and that it can be counter productive to constantly be rotating guys. I'm not sure that 'sticking with one RB' last year was the key to the success. The fact that that one RB was Adrian Peterson might have been a little more meaningful.

    There have been teams that used a 'thunder and lightning' (hit you with a big physical beast and then intersperse a shifty elusive back) approach with a lot of success.

    If the NFL has shown us anything over the years, it's that there are a lot of ways to skin a cat, and that what works today may not work tomorrow because NFL teams adjust effectively to whatever the flavor of the year is. It's true that sticking with a RB for extended periods and giving him a chance to find his groove can work. But sticking with the same RB also gives the defense a chance to adjust and stop him (vs. having to contend with a different style depending on the play).

    I do love the idea of holding out one of your very talented guys and then springing him in the 3rd and/or 4th quarter to take advantage of a tiring defense vs. a great RB with fresh legs.
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    Default Re: Burner’s Burning Questions: Free Agency, Mocks, Camps, OTAs, Roster Predictions,

    And now, here are some Redskins social media posts from this previous week.

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    Default Re: Burner’s Burning Questions: Free Agency, Mocks, Camps, OTAs, Roster Predictions,

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    The simplicity in me is complicated.
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    Default Re: Burner’s Burning Questions: Free Agency, Mocks, Camps, OTAs, Roster Predictions,

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    The simplicity in me is complicated.
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    Default Re: Burner’s Burning Questions: Free Agency, Mocks, Camps, OTAs, Roster Predictions,

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    The simplicity in me is complicated.
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    Default Re: Burner’s Burning Questions: Free Agency, Mocks, Camps, OTAs, Roster Predictions,

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    The simplicity in me is complicated.
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    Default Re: Burner’s Burning Questions: Free Agency, Mocks, Camps, OTAs, Roster Predictions,

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    Default Re: Burner’s Burning Questions: Free Agency, Mocks, Camps, OTAs, Roster Predictions,

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    Default Re: Burner’s Burning Questions: Free Agency, Mocks, Camps, OTAs, Roster Predictions,

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    The simplicity in me is complicated.
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    Default Re: Burner’s Burning Questions: Free Agency, Mocks, Camps, OTAs, Roster Predictions,

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    Default Re: Burner’s Burning Questions: Free Agency, Mocks, Camps, OTAs, Roster Predictions,

    Alex appears on the video about three minutes in and his part lasts until about the eleven minute mark.

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    Default Re: Burner’s Burning Questions: Free Agency, Mocks, Camps, OTAs, Roster Predictions,

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    Default Re: Burner’s Burning Questions: Free Agency, Mocks, Camps, OTAs, Roster Predictions,

    And there you have some of the Redskins social media posts over the last few days. More coming this week.
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    Default Re: Burner’s Burning Questions: Free Agency, Mocks, Camps, OTAs, Roster Predictions,

    Burner’s Burning Questions: Free Agency, Mocks, Camps, OTAs, Roster Predictions, 2019


    Greetings from BBQ to everyone here at BGO. We hope you had a good weekend. Hello to everyone on social media. We’d love to have you as a member here and become part of the family.

    OTAs, mini-camp, rookie camp, and the draft have passed into the history books. Training camp will be here in four weeks. We’ll continue to cover it all and give everyone at BGO the best coverage possible.

    BBQ continues our off-season evaluations and today we will take a look at the wide receivers. Feel free to scroll back in this off-season blog and see what we have said about free agency, the draft, and take a look at what your fellow Redskins think of the team transactions over the last several months. BBQ will continue to take a look at each position and provide analysis over the next few weeks. Feel free to offer your own analysis as we go along.

    - Days until Training Camp: 31
    - Days until the first preseason game: 45
    - Days until the Regular Season Opener (Eagles): 76
    - Days until the Cowboys game: 83
    - Days until the Giants game: 104

    Let’s get right to it!


    Wide Receivers:


    Paul Richardson
    Paul Richardson is not a true number one receiver, but he is a solid player who should have a good season - if he remains healthy. Having a year’s worth of experience in a new system should help as well and his production will likely increase. Richardson can also be something of a positive mentor to the younger receivers. BBQ forecasts 55 receptions for 725 yards and three touchdowns.

    Josh Doctson
    Years from now, Redskins fans and pundits will talk about the potential of Josh Doctson and what he could’ve been in a Redskins uniform. He will join other potential stars that never lived up to the billing. Michael Westbrook. Rod Gardner. Devin Thomas. Malcolm Kelly. Desmond Howard. Albert Connell. This is painful, isn’t it? Doctson has one final chance to have a good season. Don’t count on it. BBQ forecasts 35 receptions for 310 yards and a pair of touchdowns.

    Terry McLaurin
    Terry McLaurin will become the receiver that coaches and fans wanted to see with Josh Doctson and Leonard Hankerson. He should have a good first season and will likely have a breakout season in 2020. McLaurin possesses the qualities that you want in a talented receiver – speed, solid routes, excellent hands/concentration, humble attitude, football smarts, blocking skills, team first player, never quits on a play. BBQ forecasts 50 catches for 580 yards and six touchdowns.

    Trey Quinn
    The fan favorite will try to stay injury free in his second season and take over the slot role. Quinn has been superb in OTAs and mini camp this off-season and the coaches are encouraged with his progress. Coaches believe he can be better than Jamison Crowder in the slot and have faith in his abilities to prove them right. BBQ forecasts 60 receptions for 710 yards and five touchdowns.

    Cam Sims
    Cam Sims was likely heading to the practice squad until he had a solid, eye-opening mini-camp and an equally impressive set of OTAs. If he can duplicate this output in training camp and the preseason games, then Sims will be on the roster of fifty-three. He would continue to see little action on game days and it wouldn’t be a surprise if his status is inactive as a healthy scratch for much of the season. BBQ forecasts 7 receptions for 85 yards and no touchdowns.

    Kelvin Harmon
    In a draft loaded with quality wide receivers two months ago, Kelvin Harmon was widely expected to be a second round selection, but the Redskins were able to orchestrate a major steal and snatch him in the sixth round. Can he live up to the original hype or will the precipitous drop in the draft prove to be an accurate statement from the league’s thirty-two teams? Perhaps the answer is somewhere in the middle, but Harmon seems determined to prove the doubters wrong. He produced a determined effort in OTAs, mini camp, and rookie camp. The early reports point in a very positive direction. BBQ forecasts 35 receptions for 440 yards and three touchdowns.

    Jehu Chesson
    Jehu Chesson is on this list for one reason – his stellar special teams play and he has a good chance of making the roster of fifty-three. BBQ forecasts 3 receptions for 15 yards and one surprise touchdown.

    Others
    There are several receivers who will be nothing more than camp bodies, but there are a few who are still hoping to take a longshot opportunity and secure a place on the roster. They include Robert Davis, Brian Quick, and Darvin Kidsey.

    There is our latest look at roster position evaluations this off-season. We will feature another position later this week.
    Last edited by Burgundy Burner; 07-06-19 at 09:01 AM.
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    Default Re: Burner’s Burning Questions: Free Agency, Mocks, Camps, OTAs, Roster Predictions,

    The latest roster analysis coming shortly and it contains some interesting information.
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    Default Re: Burner’s Burning Questions: Free Agency, Mocks, Camps, OTAs, Roster Predictions,

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