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    • not impressed with the start of this "new regime"

      so...as I look at it in "the big picture"...what we will be talking about toward mid-season:

      1) was the strategy employed a good one? generally, this is evaluated by wins and losses (especially against division opponents)

      2) did the strategy elevate the talent level enough to turn this team into a winner?

      The first question obviously depends upon the answer to the second question.

      The second question is conditioned by how OTHER teams have improved.

      This wickers in the idea that the Skins' strategy acquires significance (e.g., it's a good/bad one) only relative to how other teams have gone about building their teams.

      Granted, it's a simple analysis. It leaves out relevant factors such as gameplans/scheme, game time adjustments, significant injuries, weather, schedule, etc. however, it has the virtue of tracking a very small number of variables (i.e., simplicity) and it has a significant (IMO) common sense property - it you're losing to your opponents more than winning, then ON AVERAGE your strategy SUCKS!!!!!

      A separate thread on what we think the current strategy is would be useful. here's a start:

      - Goal: let's set the goal as winning the Super Bowl

      - Prioritized Risk: let's assume the Skins performed an internal analysis and decided their greatest problems are lack of sufficient depth and talent across the board to compete for a Super Bowl (as of end of last season)

      - let's assume the team believes that from a fiscal point-of-view and a long-term competitive point-of-view the best approach is building a team through the draft

      - let's assume the Skins operate under two constraints: the league imposed cap; a self imposed cap (that's what appears to be going on here)

      - now comes the hard part: the strategy establishes the plan for building a roster that can compete for the SB given assumptions and constraints. There are many alternatives to accomplishing this. From where I sit it looks like the Skins have prioritized along the following lines

      . use FA to add depth since it meets internally imposed fiscal constraints

      . use the draft to elevate the talent level (over the long-term) because it's cheaper (on average)

      Not rocket science....I know. All obvious. It does relocate where the areas of excellence have to fall.

      - For FA, they better damn well be improving the depth. This team has not been successful in the past doing this as we well know.

      - For the draft, they have to have a higher hit ratio on OUTSTANDING talent in order to lift the average talent level of the team. Two variables influence this: the number of picks and the quality of the picks. This is a big gamble IMO. what the Skins are really telling everyone is "We are very confident that our scouts and decision-makers are not only going to find the top talent we need in the draft...but we are going to do a better job than other teams will in their CUMULATIVE EFFORTS in both FA and the DRAFT."
      This article was originally published in forum thread: not impressed with the start of this "new regime" started by Rymanofthenorth View original post
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